Men's college basketball picks today: Wednesday's best bets include UC Santa Barbara vs. UC Davis play [3/11/2026]

Today’s men's college basketball picks for March 11, 2026 are here, with UC Santa Barbara vs. UC Davis and Ohio vs. Kent State among the top plays identified by our model across Wednesday’s men's college basketball action.

Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, scanning the latest men's college basketball odds to unearth top betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.

List of NCAAM picks tonight [3/11, updated 10:37PM ET]

Below, you’ll find today’s top 10 men's college basketball bets, ranked by edge for Wednesday, March 11, 2026.

UC Davis +4.5 (-105)

• Edge: 7.2%
• Probability: 58.4%
• Matchup: UC Santa Barbara vs. UC Davis (11:30PM ET, Wednesday)

Our model has identified value on UC Davis +4.5 at -105 odds. A 58.4% probability produces an edge of 7.2%, making this the strongest play for today's men's college basketball slate.

Ohio +3.5 (-102)

• Edge: 5.3%
• Probability: 55.8%
• Matchup: Ohio vs. Kent State (6:30PM ET, Thursday)

Ohio +3.5 carries a 5.3% edge and a probability of 55.8% at -102 odds, according to our model.

Montana +3.5 (-102)

• Edge: 5.3%
• Probability: 55.8%
• Matchup: Idaho vs. Montana (11:30PM ET, Wednesday)

Montana +3.5 vs. Idaho at -102 odds shows a 5.3% edge, supported by a 55.8% probability in simulations.

Rhode Island vs. Duquesne over 138.5 points (-105)

• Edge: 5.0%
• Probability: 56.2%
• Matchup: Rhode Island vs. Duquesne (5:00PM ET, Thursday)

A 5.0% edge and 56.2% probability make Rhode Island vs. Duquesne over 138.5 points at a value play in the Rhode Island vs. Duquesne matchup, per our model.

Virginia ML (-205)

• Edge: 4.2%
• Probability: 71.4%
• Matchup: North Carolina State vs. Virginia (12:00PM ET, Thursday)

Virginia ML at -205 odds presents a 4.2% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 71.4%.

Creighton +3.5 (-120)

• Edge: 3.9%
• Probability: 58.4%
• Matchup: Creighton vs. Seton Hall (2:30PM ET, Thursday)

Our model finds value on Creighton +3.5 at -120 odds, supported by an edge of 3.9%.

Alabama A&M vs. Texas Southern over 144.5 points (-105)

• Edge: 3.7%
• Probability: 54.9%
• Matchup: Alabama A&M vs. Texas Southern (2:00PM ET, Thursday)

Our model has uncovered value on Alabama A&M vs. Texas Southern over 144.5 points at -105 odds. A 54.9% probability produces a 3.7% edge, making this a strong play for today's men's college basketball action.

Idaho vs. Montana over 147.5 points (-105)

• Edge: 3.6%
• Probability: 54.8%
• Matchup: Idaho vs. Montana (11:30PM ET, Wednesday)

A 3.6% edge on a 54.8% probability makes over 147.5 points at -105 odds a solid value play in today's Idaho vs. Montana matchup.

Maryland-Eastern Shore +1.5 (-110)

• Edge: 3.4%
• Probability: 55.8%
• Matchup: Maryland-Eastern Shore vs. North Carolina Central (8:30PM ET, Thursday)

Our model projects value on Maryland-Eastern Shore +1.5 at -110 odds. A 55.8% probability produces a 3.4% edge, making Maryland-Eastern Shore the favorable side in Saturday’s matchup.

Fordham +5.5 (-108)

• Edge: 3.3%
• Probability: 55.2%
• Matchup: Alabama A&M vs. Texas Southern (11:30AM ET, Thursday)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Fordham +5.5 at -108 odds shows a 55.2% probability and a 3.3% edge.

NCAAM best bets summary: Wednesday, 3/11/2026

As of 10:37PM ET, here are our top men's college basketball bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
UC Santa Barbara vs. UC Davis	UC Davis +4.5	-105 @ BetMGM	7.2%	58.4%
Ohio vs. Kent State	Ohio +3.5	-102 @ FanDuel	5.3%	55.8%
Idaho vs. Montana	Montana +3.5	-102 @ BetMGM	5.3%	55.8%
Rhode Island vs. Duquesne	Over 138.5 Points	-105 @ BetMGM	5.0%	56.2%
North Carolina State vs. Virginia	Virginia ML	-205 @ DraftKings	4.2%	71.4%
Creighton vs. Seton Hall	Creighton +3.5	-120 @ FanDuel	3.9%	58.4%
Alabama A&M vs. Texas Southern	Over 144.5 Points	-105 @ BetMGM	3.7%	54.9%
Idaho vs. Montana	Over 147.5 Points	-105 @ BetMGM	3.6%	54.8%
Maryland-Eastern Shore vs. North Carolina Central	Maryland-Eastern Shore +1.5	-110 @ BetMGM	3.4%	55.8%
George Washington vs. Fordham	Fordham +5.5	-108 @ DraftKings	3.3%	55.2%

List of upcoming men's college basketball games to bet on now

• San Jose State vs. Boise State (11:30PM ET, Wednesday)
• UC Santa Barbara vs. UC Davis (11:30PM ET, Wednesday)
• Idaho vs. Montana (11:30PM ET, Wednesday)
• Massachusetts vs. Miami (OH) (11:00AM ET, Thursday)
• George Washington vs. Fordham (11:30AM ET, Thursday)
• North Carolina State vs. Virginia (12:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Iowa vs. Ohio State (12:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Bowling Green vs. Toledo (1:30PM ET, Thursday)
• Alabama A&M vs. Texas Southern (2:00PM ET, Thursday)
• St. Bonaventure vs. George Mason (2:00PM ET, Thursday)

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Conclusion

Our men's college basketball best bets are locked and loaded for March 11, 2026, featuring plays such as UC Davis +4.5 and Ohio +3.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate college basketball insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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