Men's college basketball picks today: Friday's best bets include TCU vs. Kansas State play [2/27/2026]

Today’s men's college basketball picks for February 27, 2026 are here, with TCU vs. Kansas State and Washington State vs. Pepperdine among the top plays identified by our model across Friday’s men's college basketball slate.

Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, searching the latest men's college basketball odds to unearth genuine betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.

List of NCAAM picks tonight [2/27, updated 8:06PM ET]

Below, you’ll find today’s top 10 men's college basketball bets, ranked by edge for Friday, February 27, 2026.

Kansas State +3.5 (-114)

• Edge: 7.9%
• Probability: 61.2%
• Matchup: TCU vs. Kansas State (6:30PM ET, Saturday)

Our model has identified value on Kansas State +3.5 at -114 odds. A 61.2% probability produces an edge of 7.9%, making this the strongest play for today's men's college basketball slate.

Washington State -6.5 (-110)

• Edge: 7.4%
• Probability: 59.8%
• Matchup: Washington State vs. Pepperdine (8:00PM ET, Saturday)

Washington State -6.5 carries a 7.4% edge and a probability of 59.8% at -110 odds, according to our model.

Creighton -2.5 (-120)

• Edge: 7.0%
• Probability: 61.5%
• Matchup: Providence vs. Creighton (5:30PM ET, Saturday)

Creighton -2.5 vs. Providence at -120 odds shows a 7.0% edge, supported by a 61.5% probability in simulations.

Portland State vs. Montana over 143.5 points (-105)

• Edge: 6.8%
• Probability: 58%
• Matchup: Portland State vs. Montana (4:00PM ET, Saturday)

A 6.8% edge and 58% probability make Portland State vs. Montana over 143.5 points at a value play in the Portland State vs. Montana matchup, per our model.

St. John's ML (-250)

• Edge: 6.4%
• Probability: 77.9%
• Matchup: Villanova vs. St. John's (8:00PM ET, Saturday)

St. John's ML at -250 odds presents a 6.4% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 77.9%.

Georgia Southern vs. Marshall under 168.5 points (-105)

• Edge: 6.4%
• Probability: 57.6%
• Matchup: Georgia Southern vs. Marshall (9:00PM ET, Friday)

Our model finds value on under 168.5 points in Georgia Southern vs. Marshall at -105 odds, supported by an edge of 6.4%.

Southern Miss +4.5 (-110)

• Edge: 6.1%
• Probability: 58.4%
• Matchup: Southern Miss vs. South Alabama (8:30PM ET, Friday)

Our model has uncovered value on Southern Miss +4.5 at -110 odds. A 58.4% probability produces a 6.1% edge, making this a strong play for today's men's college basketball action.

UC Riverside +4.5 (-110)

• Edge: 6.1%
• Probability: 58.4%
• Matchup: Cal State Northridge vs. UC Riverside (8:00PM ET, Saturday)

A 6.1% edge on a 58.4% probability makes UC Riverside +4.5 at -110 odds a solid value play in today's Cal State Northridge vs. UC Riverside matchup.

New Mexico State +5.5 (-110)

• Edge: 5.7%
• Probability: 58%
• Matchup: New Mexico State vs. Middle Tennessee (1:00PM ET, Saturday)

Our model projects value on New Mexico State +5.5 at -110 odds. A 58% probability produces a 5.7% edge, making New Mexico State the favorable side in Saturday’s matchup.

Arizona -9.5 (-105)

• Edge: 5.6%
• Probability: 56.8%
• Matchup: Southern Miss vs. South Alabama (4:00PM ET, Saturday)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Arizona -9.5 at -105 odds shows a 56.8% probability and a 5.6% edge.

NCAAM best bets summary: Friday, 2/27/2026

As of 8:06PM ET, here are our top men's college basketball bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
TCU vs. Kansas State	Kansas State +3.5	-114 @ FanDuel	7.9%	61.2%
Washington State vs. Pepperdine	Washington State -6.5	-110 @ FanDuel	7.4%	59.8%
Providence vs. Creighton	Creighton -2.5	-120 @ FanDuel	7.0%	61.5%
Portland State vs. Montana	Over 143.5 Points	-105 @ DraftKings	6.8%	58%
Villanova vs. St. John's	St. John's ML	-250 @ BetMGM	6.4%	77.9%
Georgia Southern vs. Marshall	Under 168.5 Points	-105 @ BetMGM	6.4%	57.6%
Southern Miss vs. South Alabama	Southern Miss +4.5	-110 @ FanDuel	6.1%	58.4%
Cal State Northridge vs. UC Riverside	UC Riverside +4.5	-110 @ BetMGM	6.1%	58.4%
New Mexico State vs. Middle Tennessee	New Mexico State +5.5	-110 @ BetMGM	5.7%	58%
Kansas vs. Arizona	Arizona -9.5	-105 @ BetMGM	5.6%	56.8%

List of upcoming men's college basketball games to bet on now

• Southern Miss vs. South Alabama (8:30PM ET, Friday)
• Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Arkansas State (8:30PM ET, Friday)
• Georgia Southern vs. Marshall (9:00PM ET, Friday)
• Virginia vs. Duke (12:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Colorado vs. Houston (12:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Seton Hall vs. Connecticut (12:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Iowa vs. Penn State (12:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Florida State vs. Georgia Tech (12:00PM ET, Saturday)
• North Carolina State vs. Notre Dame (12:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Saint Joseph's (PA) vs. Rhode Island (12:00PM ET, Saturday)

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Conclusion

Our men's college basketball best bets are locked and loaded for February 27, 2026, featuring plays such as Kansas State +3.5 and Washington State -6.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate college basketball insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are rooted in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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