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Grizzlies vs. Pelicans prediction: Memphis favored to win Wednesday's NBA Cup matchup [11/26/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Memphis Grizzlies vs New Orleans Pelicans predictions for NBA Wednesday.
The New Orleans Pelicans and Memphis Grizzlies will lock horns in NBA Cup action at Smoothie King Center on Wednesday, starting at 8:00PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury reports, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Grizzlies as the most likely winner of the Grizzlies vs. Pelicans game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Pelicans lineup will feature stars like Zion Williamson, Trey Murphy and Jeremiah Fears, while the Grizzlies will rely on Jaren Jackson, Santi Aldama and Cedric Coward.
This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Grizzlies vs. Pelicans prediction: Who will win NBA Cup game?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's NBA matchup between the Grizzlies and Pelicans 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Grizzlies a 61% chance of beating the Pelicans. Our predicted final score has the Grizzlies winning 119-115.
According to our model, the Pelicans (+3.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the 235.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.
Grizzlies vs. Pelicans odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Grizzlies | Pelicans |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -3.5 (-110) | +3.5 (-108) |
| Moneyline | -148 | +138 |
| Total | o235.5 (-105) | u235.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Grizzlies vs. Pelicans picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Pelicans +3.5 | -108 |
| Moneyline | Grizzlies | -148 |
| Total | Under 235.5 | -110 |
According to our best NBA bets, the top play to make on this game is Grizzlies to win.
Grizzlies vs. Pelicans player props
Looking for Memphis vs. New Orleans NBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Smoothie King Center.
Jaren Jackson is expected to lead the Grizzlies with 20 points, 6 rebounds and 3 assists, while Zion Williamson is projected to have 24 points, 6 rebounds and 5 assists for the Pelicans.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every game this season.
Grizzlies prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Grizzlies are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaren Jackson | 20 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 38 |
| Santi Aldama | 15 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 34 |
| Cedric Coward | 14 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 30 |
| Jaylen Wells | 13 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 25 |
| Cam Spencer | 12 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 26 |
Pelicans prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Pelicans:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zion Williamson | 24 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 45 |
| Trey Murphy | 22 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 42 |
| Jeremiah Fears | 17 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 31 |
| Saddiq Bey | 14 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 28 |
| Derik Queen | 14 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 37 |
Grizzlies vs. Pelicans game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's action between the Pelicans and Grizzlies at Smoothie King Center is scheduled to start at 8:00PM ET.
- Who: Memphis Grizzlies vs. New Orleans Pelicans
- Date: Wednesday, November 26, 2025
- Time: 8:00PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Smoothie King Center
- Tournament details: 2025 Emirates NBA Cup
Conclusion
We predict the Grizzlies, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat the Pelicans on Wednesday, with Zion Williamson projected for a game-high 45 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Grizzlies vs. Pelicans insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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