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Grizzlies vs. Pelicans prediction: New Orleans favored to win Friday's NBA matchup [1/30/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Memphis Grizzlies vs New Orleans Pelicans predictions for NBA Friday.
The New Orleans Pelicans will face the Memphis Grizzlies in NBA action at Smoothie King Center on Friday, commencing at 7:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations and today’s injury reports, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Pelicans as the most likely winner of the Grizzlies vs. Pelicans game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Pelicans lineup will feature stars like Zion Williamson, Trey Murphy and Saddiq Bey, while the Grizzlies will look to Jaren Jackson, Cedric Coward and Cam Spencer.
This article offers further insights into Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Grizzlies vs. Pelicans prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's NBA game between the Grizzlies and Pelicans 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Pelicans a 60% chance of beating the Grizzlies. Our predicted final score has the Pelicans winning 116-113.
According to our model, the Grizzlies (+3.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 230.5 points has a 52% chance of going over.
Grizzlies vs. Pelicans odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Grizzlies | Pelicans |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +3.5 (-108) | -3.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +138 | -155 |
| Total | o230.5 (-115) | u230.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Grizzlies vs. Pelicans picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Grizzlies +3.5 | -108 |
| Moneyline | Pelicans | -155 |
| Total | Over 230.5 | -115 |
According to our best NBA bets for Friday, the top play to make on this game is Grizzlies +3.5 at the spread.
Grizzlies vs. Pelicans player props
NBA prop bets are an exciting way to wager on the Memphis vs. New Orleans game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Smoothie King Center.
Jaren Jackson is expected to lead the Grizzlies with 22 points, 6 rebounds and 2 assists, while Zion Williamson is projected to have 26 points, 7 rebounds and 4 assists for the Pelicans.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Grizzlies prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Grizzlies are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaren Jackson | 22 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 40 |
| Cedric Coward | 15 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 33 |
| Cam Spencer | 14 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 35 |
| Jock Landale | 14 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 31 |
| Jaylen Wells | 12 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 22 |
Pelicans prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Pelicans:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zion Williamson | 26 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 47 |
| Trey Murphy | 25 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 47 |
| Saddiq Bey | 17 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 33 |
| Derik Queen | 11 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 32 |
| Jeremiah Fears | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 21 |
Grizzlies vs. Pelicans game-day updates and essential details
Friday's game between the Pelicans and Grizzlies at Smoothie King Center is scheduled to begin at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Memphis Grizzlies vs. New Orleans Pelicans
- Date: Friday, January 30, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: Smoothie King Center
Conclusion
We predict the Pelicans, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat the Grizzlies on Friday, with Trey Murphy projected for a game-high 47 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Grizzlies vs. Pelicans insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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