Grizzlies vs. Pacers prediction: Why Memphis is favored to win Sunday's NBA matchup [3/1/2026]

The Indiana Pacers and Memphis Grizzlies will lock horns in NBA action at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Sunday, starting at 5:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury reports, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Grizzlies as the most likely winner of the Grizzlies vs. Pacers game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Pacers lineup will feature players like Jarace Walker, Quenton Jackson and Jay Huff, while the Grizzlies will rely on GG Jackson, Scotty Pippen and Jaylen Wells.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Grizzlies vs. Pacers prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NBA matchup between the Grizzlies and Pacers 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Grizzlies a 55% chance of defeating the Pacers. Our predicted final score has the Grizzlies winning 118-117.

According to our model, the Grizzlies (-1.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 236.5 points has a 53% chance of staying under.

Grizzlies vs. Pacers odds

We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Grizzlies vs. Pacers picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our best NBA bets for Sunday, the top play to make on this game is Grizzlies to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Grizzlies vs. Pacers player props

NBA player props are a common way to wager on Sunday's Memphis vs. Indiana game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.

GG Jackson is expected to lead the Grizzlies with 15 points, 5 rebounds and 2 assists, while Jarace Walker is projected to have 17 points, 7 rebounds and 3 assists for the Pacers.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.

Grizzlies prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Grizzlies are:

Pacers prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Pacers:

Grizzlies vs. Pacers game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's action between the Pacers and Grizzlies at Gainbridge Fieldhouse is scheduled to commence at 5:00 PM ET.

• Who: Memphis Grizzlies vs. Indiana Pacers
• Date: Sunday, March 1, 2026
• Time: 5:00 PM ET/2:00PM PT
• Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse

Conclusion

We predict the Grizzlies, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat the Pacers on Sunday, with Jarace Walker projected for a game-high 36 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Grizzlies vs. Pacers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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