Matteo Berrettini vs. Dusan Lajovic prediction, odds, picks for ATP Rio Open 2026

Matteo Berrettini will face Dusan Lajovic in the round of 16 at the ATP Rio de Janeiro event on Thursday.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model projects Matteo Berrettini as the most likely winner of the Berrettini vs. Lajovic match.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.

Berrettini vs. Lajovic prediction: Who will win and advance to the quarterfinals?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's Berrettini-Lajovic men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives Berrettini a 74% chance of beating Lajovic at the ATP Rio Open tournament.

Additionally, Berrettini has a 70% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Berrettini (-3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 22.5 games has a 52% chance of hitting**, according to our model.

Matteo Berrettini vs. Dusan Lajovic odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Berrettini vs. Lajovic picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: