Jun 2, 2026
French Open bets today: Two picks for Tuesday ft. Jodar vs. Zverev [6/2/2026]
Read Article Matteo Berrettini vs. Matteo Arnaldi prediction, odds, picks for French Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Berrettini vs Arnaldi predictions for French Open 2026.
Matteo Berrettini will face Matteo Arnaldi in the quarterfinals of the French Open Men's Singles 2026 on Wednesday.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Matteo Berrettini as the most likely winner of the Berrettini vs. Arnaldi match.
This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.
Berrettini vs. Arnaldi prediction: Who will win and advance to the semifinals?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Berrettini-Arnaldi men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives Berrettini a 64% chance of beating Arnaldi in the French Open 2026.
Additionally, Berrettini has a 61% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Berrettini (-2.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 38.5 games has a 52% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Matteo Berrettini vs. Matteo Arnaldi odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Berrettini | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -175 | +150 |
| First Set | -152 | +120 |
| Game Spread | -2.5 (-145) | +2.5 (-110) |
| Total Games | o38.5 (-105) | u38.5 (-118) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Berrettini vs. Arnaldi picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Berrettini | -175 |
| First Set | Arnaldi | -118 |
According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is over 38.5 total games.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Berrettini vs. Arnaldi updates and essential details
The French Open 2026 match between Matteo Berrettini and Matteo Arnaldi is scheduled to begin on Wednesday at 5:00 AM ET.
- Who: Matteo Berrettini vs. Matteo Arnaldi
- Date: Wednesday, June 3, 2026
- Approx. Time: 5:00 AM ET/2:00AM PT
- Tournament: French Open Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Quarterfinals
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Matteo Berrettini, with a 64% win probability, will likely beat Matteo Arnaldi at the French Open 2026.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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