Matej Dodig vs. Pablo Carreno Busta prediction, odds, picks for ATP Croatia Open 2026

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Get Dodig vs Carreno Busta predictions for ATP Croatia Open.

Matej Dodig vs Pablo Carreno Busta Tennis Prediction.
Our Matej Dodig and Pablo Carreno Busta tennis prediction is based on thousands of simulations of the upcoming match.

Matej Dodig will square off with Pablo Carreno Busta in the round of 32 at the ATP Umag event on Tuesday.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model projects Pablo Carreno Busta as the most likely winner of the Dodig vs. Carreno Busta match.

This article offers further insights into Tuesday's match, including best bets and picks.

Dodig vs. Carreno Busta prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 16?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's Dodig-Carreno Busta men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Carreno Busta a 73% chance of winning against Dodig at the ATP Croatia Open tournament.

 

Matej Dodig vs. Pablo Carreno Busta odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type Dodig Carreno Busta
Moneyline +210 -200
Game Spread +3.5 (-108) -3.5 (-124)
Total Games o22.5 (+100) u22.5 (-126)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Dodig vs. Carreno Busta picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Moneyline Carreno Busta -200
First Set Carreno Busta -126

According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is Pablo Carreno Busta to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Dodig vs. Carreno Busta updates and essential details

The ATP Croatia Open match between Matej Dodig and Pablo Carreno Busta is scheduled to start on Tuesday at 10:00 AM ET.

  • Who: Matej Dodig vs. Pablo Carreno Busta
  • Date: Tuesday, July 14, 2026
  • Approx. Time: 10:00 AM ET/7:00AM PT
  • Tournament: ATP Umag, Croatia Men's Singles 2026
  • Round: Round of 32

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Pablo Carreno Busta, with a 73% win probability, will likely beat Matej Dodig at the ATP Croatia Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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