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UMass vs. Ball State prediction: Massachusetts favored to win men's college basketball matchup [2/24/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get UMass vs Ball State predictions for college basketball Tuesday.
Ball State will take on the favored UMass in men's college basketball action at John E. Worthen Arena on Tuesday, starting at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven college basketball model predicts Massachusetts as the most likely winner of the UMass vs. Ball State game.
This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
UMass vs. Ball State prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's NCAA basketball matchup between UMass and Ball State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives Massachusetts a 66% chance of beating Ball State. Our predicted final score has Massachusetts winning 74-70.
According to our model, Ball State (+4.5) has a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 143.5 points has a 53% chance of going over.
UMass vs. Ball State odds
We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | UMass | Ball State |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -4.5 (-115) | +4.5 (-102) |
| Moneyline | -218 | +188 |
| Total | o143.5 (-105) | u143.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
UMass vs. Ball State picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Ball State +4.5 | -102 |
| Moneyline | Ball State | +188 |
| Total | Over 143.5 | -105 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 143.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
UMass vs. Ball State game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's men's college basketball matchup between Ball State and UMass at John E. Worthen Arena is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Massachusetts vs. Ball State
- Date: Tuesday, February 24, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: John E. Worthen Arena
Conclusion
We predict Massachusetts, with a 66% win probability, will likely beat Ball State on Tuesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Massachusetts vs. Ball State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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