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Manchester United vs. Liverpool prediction, odds, Premier League picks [5/3/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Manchester United vs Liverpool predictions for Premier League Sunday.
Manchester United will face Liverpool in Premier League action at Old Trafford on Sunday, beginning at 10:30 AM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced Premier League model predicts Liverpool as the most likely winner of the Manchester United vs. Liverpool game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.
Manchester United vs. Liverpool prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's Premier League match between Manchester United and Liverpool, forming part of our Premier League predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model suggests a 36.2% chance of Manchester United winning, a 41.1% chance for Liverpool, and a 22.7% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 66% chance of going over, according to our model.
Manchester United vs. Liverpool odds
We have researched the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Manchester United | Liverpool | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +130 | +195 | +290 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -200 | +162 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Manchester United vs. Liverpool picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Liverpool | +195 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -200 |
According to our Premier League best bets, the top play to make on this game is Liverpool to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Manchester United vs. Liverpool: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| MUN 1-1 LIV | 9.7% |
| MUN 1-2 LIV | 8.5% |
| MUN 2-1 LIV | 7.9% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 66.4% chance of both Manchester United and Liverpool finding the net and a 33.6% chance that at least one doesn’t.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Manchester United vs. Liverpool game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's Premier League game between Manchester United and Liverpool at Old Trafford is scheduled to begin in the United States at 10:30 AM ET.
- Who: Manchester United vs. Liverpool
- Date: Sunday, May 3, 2026
- Time: 10:30 AM ET/7:30AM PT
- Venue: Old Trafford
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Manchester United has a 36.2% win probability on Sunday, Liverpool has a 41.1% win probability, and there is a 22.7% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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