Manchester United vs. Liverpool Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Manchester United vs. Liverpool Premier League match on May 3, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Liverpool
2
3
Old Trafford
Manchester United
Old Trafford
Manchester UnitedMNU
Score Summary
LiverpoolLFC
M. Cunha (6')
Soccer ball icon
B. Sesko (14')
Soccer ball icon
K. Mainoo (77')
Soccer ball icon
D. Szoboszlai (47')
Soccer ball icon
C. Gakpo (56')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Manchester United
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Liverpool
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Manchester Utd: L. Yoro replaces B. Fernandes
  2. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Manchester Utd: J. Zirkzee replaces M. Cunha
  3. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Liverpool: F. Chiesa replaces I. Konate
  4. 85'
    Yellow Card
    C. Gakpo (Liverpool) cautioned
  5. 81'
    Yellow Card
    B. Fernandes (Manchester Utd) cautioned
  6. 77'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Manchester Utd by K. Mainoo
    2-3
  7. 75'
    Yellow Card
    C. Jones (Liverpool) cautioned
  8. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Liverpool: R. Ngumoha replaces J. Frimpong
  9. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Manchester Utd: P. Dorgu replaces B. Mbeumo
  10. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Liverpool: M. Kerkez replaces A. Robertson
  11. 56'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Liverpool by C. Gakpo, assisted by D. Szoboszlai
    2-2
  12. 49'
    Yellow Card
    L. Shaw (Manchester Utd) cautioned
  13. 47'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Liverpool by D. Szoboszlai
    1-2
  14. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Manchester Utd: A. Diallo replaces B. Sesko
  15. 14'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Manchester Utd by B. Sesko
    0-2
  16. 6'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Manchester Utd by M. Cunha
    0-1

Manchester United vs. Liverpool: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Manchester United vs. Liverpool
  • Date: Sunday, May 3, 2026
  • Time: 10:30 AM ET
  • Venue: Old Trafford

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Manchester United +140, Liverpool +180, draw +290
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-188/+150)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Manchester United: 34.0%
  • Liverpool: 43.1%
  • Draw: 22.9%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Manchester United 1-1 Liverpool (10.0%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Manchester United vs. Liverpool? Prediction & correct score

Liverpool is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 43.1%.

The most likely correct score is Manchester United 1-1 Liverpool.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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