Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano prediction, odds, La Liga picks [4/12/2026]

RCD Mallorca and Rayo Vallecano will lock horns in La Liga at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix on Sunday, with kickoff at 10:15 AM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced La Liga model predicts Mallorca as the most likely winner of the RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano game.

This article offers further insights into Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.

RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano prediction: Who will win?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's La Liga match between RCD Mallorca and Rayo Vallecano, forming part of our La Liga predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently suggests a 42.0% chance of RCD Mallorca winning, a 30.6% chance for Rayo Vallecano, and a 27.4% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 57% chance of staying under, according to our model.

RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano odds

We have researched the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Total Goals

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our La Liga best bets, the top play to make on this game is Mallorca to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano: Correct score and BTTS predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 48.5% chance of both RCD Mallorca and Rayo Vallecano finding the net and a 51.5% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's La Liga game between RCD Mallorca and Rayo Vallecano at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix is scheduled to start in the United States at 10:15 AM ET.

• Who: Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano
• Date: Sunday, April 12, 2026
• Time: 10:15 AM ET/7:15AM PT
• Venue: Estadi Mallorca Son Moix

Conclusion

According to our computer model, RCD Mallorca has a 42.0% win probability on Sunday, Rayo Vallecano has a 30.6% win probability, and there is a 27.4% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.