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Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano prediction, odds, La Liga picks [4/12/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Innovation Officer
Get Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano predictions for La Liga Sunday.
RCD Mallorca will take on Rayo Vallecano in La Liga action at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix on Sunday, commencing at 10:15 AM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced La Liga model predicts Mallorca as the most likely winner of the RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano game.
This article offers further insights into Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.
RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's La Liga match between RCD Mallorca and Rayo Vallecano, forming part of our La Liga predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model suggests a 39.8% chance of RCD Mallorca winning, a 32.6% chance for Rayo Vallecano, and a 27.5% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 57% chance of staying under, according to our model.
RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano odds
We have researched the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| RCD Mallorca | Rayo Vallecano | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +150 | +210 | +225 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| +115 | -160 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Rayo Vallecano | +210 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | +115 |
According to our La Liga best bets, the top play to make on this game is Rayo Vallecano to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| RCD 1-1 RAY | 13% |
| RCD 1-0 RAY | 11.5% |
| RCD 0-1 RAY | 10.2% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 48.8% chance of both sides finding the net and a 51.2% chance that at least one doesn’t.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's La Liga action between RCD Mallorca and Rayo Vallecano at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix is scheduled to begin in the USA at 10:15 AM ET.
- Who: Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano
- Date: Sunday, April 12, 2026
- Time: 10:15 AM ET/7:15AM PT
- Venue: Estadi Mallorca Son Moix
Conclusion
According to our computer model, RCD Mallorca has a 39.8% win probability on Sunday, Rayo Vallecano has a 32.6% win probability, and there is a 27.5% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.
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