Luca Nardi vs. Flavio Cobolli prediction, odds, picks for ATP Open Sud de France 2026

Luca Nardi and Flavio Cobolli will meet in the round of 16 of the ATP Open Sud de France event on Thursday.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model projects Flavio Cobolli as the most likely winner of the Nardi vs. Cobolli match.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.

Nardi vs. Cobolli prediction: Who will win and advance to the quarterfinals?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's Nardi-Cobolli men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Cobolli a 55% chance of defeating Nardi at the ATP Open Sud de France tournament.

Additionally, Cobolli has a 53% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Nardi (+1.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 22.5 games has a 51% chance of hitting**, according to our model.

Luca Nardi vs. Flavio Cobolli odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Nardi vs. Cobolli picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is *Luca Nardi to win.

Nardi vs. Cobolli updates and essential details

The ATP Open Sud de France match between Luca Nardi and Flavio Cobolli is scheduled to begin on Thursday at 9:40 AM ET.

• Who: Luca Nardi vs. Flavio Cobolli
• Date: Thursday, February 5, 2026
• Approx. Time: 9:40 AM ET/6:40AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Montpellier, France Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 16

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Flavio Cobolli, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat Luca Nardi at the ATP Open Sud de France tournament.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Nardi vs. Cobolli insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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