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LSU vs. Mississippi State prediction: Why LSU is favored to win NCAAW matchup [3/1/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get LSU vs Mississippi State predictions for college basketball Sunday.
Mississippi State will face the favored LSU in women's college basketball action at Humphrey Coliseum on Sunday, commencing at 4:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' new women's basketball model projects LSU as the most likely winner of the LSU vs. Mississippi State game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
LSU vs. Mississippi State prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's women's basketball matchup between LSU and Mississippi State 10,000 times as part of our women's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives LSU a 97% chance of defeating Mississippi State.
According to our model, the 156.5-point over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
LSU vs. Mississippi State odds
We have researched the best women's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | LSU | Mississippi State |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -22.5 (-110) | +22.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | -7692 | +2200 |
| Total | o156.5 (-110) | u156.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
LSU vs. Mississippi State picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Mississippi State +22.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Mississippi State | +2200 |
| Total | Under 156.5 | -110 |
According to our women's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Mississippi State to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
LSU vs. Mississippi State game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's women's basketball game between Mississippi State and LSU at Humphrey Coliseum is scheduled to begin at 4:00 PM ET.
- Who: LSU vs. Mississippi State
- Date: Sunday, March 1, 2026
- Time: 4:00 PM ET/1:00PM PT
- Venue: Humphrey Coliseum
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Conclusion
We predict LSU, with a 97% win probability, will likely beat Mississippi State on Sunday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate LSU vs. Mississippi State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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