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Louisville vs. Duke prediction: Duke favored to win NCAAW matchup [3/8/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Louisville vs Duke predictions for college basketball Sunday.
Women's college basketball action continues on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET as Louisville locks horns with Duke at Gas South Arena.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' new women's basketball model projects Duke as the most likely winner of the Louisville vs. Duke game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Louisville vs. Duke prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's women's basketball matchup between Louisville and Duke 10,000 times as part of our women's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives Duke a 61% chance of beating Louisville.
According to our model, the over/under total of 133.5 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Louisville vs. Duke odds
We have sourced the best women's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Louisville | Duke |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +2.5 (-110) | -2.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +124 | -144 |
| Total | o133.5 (-114) | u133.5 (-114) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Louisville vs. Duke picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Duke -2.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Duke | -144 |
| Total | Over 133.5 | -114 |
According to our women's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Duke to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Louisville vs. Duke game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's women's basketball action between Duke and Louisville at Gas South Arena is scheduled to start at 1:00 PM ET.
- Who: Louisville vs. Duke
- Date: Sunday, March 8, 2026
- Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: Gas South Arena
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Conclusion
We predict Duke, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat Louisville on Sunday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Louisville vs. Duke insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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