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Rams vs. Bears prediction: Why Rams are favored to win Divisional Round game [2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Los Angeles Rams vs Chicago Bears predictions for NFL Sunday.
The Chicago Bears and Los Angeles Rams are scheduled to meet in the Divisional Round of the NFL Playoffs at Soldier Field on Sunday, starting at 6:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced NFL model predicts the Rams as the most likely winner of the Rams vs. Bears game.
This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Rams vs. Bears prediction: Who will win ‘Sunday Night Football’?
Since our Rams-Bears predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Rams and Bears 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Rams a 61% chance of defeating the Bears. Our predicted final score has the Rams winning 26-23.
According to our model, the Bears (+4.5) have a 59% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 49 points has a 54% chance of going over.
To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 20 straight up picks.
Rams vs. Bears odds
We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Rams | Bears |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -4.5 (-105) | +4.5 (-125) |
| Moneyline | -200 | +170 |
| Total | o49 (-110) | u49 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Rams vs. Bears picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Bears +4.5 | -125 |
| Moneyline | Bears | +170 |
| Total | Over 49 | -110 |
According to our best NFL bets, the top play to make on this game is Bears +4.5 at the spread.
Rams vs. Bears TD scorers
Who will score a touchdown in Rams vs. Bears?
According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for Week 20, Davante Adams is most likely to score an anytime touchdown in Rams vs. Bears.
Our projections give Adams a 49.6% chance of scoring a TD at Soldier Field, while the wide receiver is a 10.5% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions
Los Angeles Rams
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Davante Adams (WR) | 49.6% |
| Puka Nacua (WR) | 47.8% |
| Kyren Williams (RB) | 44.9% |
| Blake Corum (RB) | 31.5% |
| Colby Parkinson (TE) | 25.3% |
Chicago Bears
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| D'Andre Swift (RB) | 38.7% |
| Colston Loveland (TE) | 30.1% |
| Kyle Monangai (RB) | 28.7% |
| Rome Odunze (WR) | 23.6% |
| DJ Moore (WR) | 23.1% |
First touchdown scorer predictions
Los Angeles Rams
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Davante Adams (WR) | 10.5% |
| Puka Nacua (WR) | 10.0% |
| Kyren Williams (RB) | 9.2% |
| Blake Corum (RB) | 5.8% |
| Colby Parkinson (TE) | 4.5% |
Chicago Bears
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| D'Andre Swift (RB) | 8.3% |
| Colston Loveland (TE) | 6.1% |
| Kyle Monangai (RB) | 5.7% |
| Rome Odunze (WR) | 4.6% |
| DJ Moore (WR) | 4.5% |
Rams vs Bears player props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Rams and Bears. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 20 games.
Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Rams' Matthew Stafford is projected to have a big game with 275 passing yards. The Bears' Caleb Williams is expected to throw for 221 yards.
| Player | Proj. Pass Yards |
|---|---|
| Matthew Stafford (LA) | 275 |
| Caleb Williams (CHI) | 221 |
Rams rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Kyren Williams | 68 |
| Blake Corum | 48 |
| Puka Nacua | 6 |
Bears rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| D'Andre Swift | 60 |
| Kyle Monangai | 39 |
| Caleb Williams | 23 |
Rams receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Puka Nacua | 100 |
| Davante Adams | 62 |
| Colby Parkinson | 25 |
| Tyler Higbee | 25 |
| Kyren Williams | 16 |
Bears receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Colston Loveland | 58 |
| Luther Burden | 44 |
| Rome Odunze | 40 |
| DJ Moore | 35 |
| D'Andre Swift | 17 |
Rams vs. Bears game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's matchup between the Bears and Rams at Soldier Field is scheduled to start at 6:30 PM ET.
- Who: Los Angeles Rams vs. Chicago Bears
- Date: Sunday, January 18, 2026
- Time: 6:30 PM ET/3:30PM PT
- Venue: Soldier Field
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Conclusion
We predict the Rams, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat the Bears on Sunday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Rams vs. Bears insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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