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Lakers vs. Kings prediction: Lakers to win, Luka Doncic projected for 33 points in Monday's NBA game [1/12/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Los Angeles Lakers vs Sacramento Kings predictions for NBA Monday.
The Sacramento Kings and Los Angeles Lakers will meet in NBA action at Golden 1 Center on Monday, starting at 10:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury reports, Dimers' advanced NBA model projects the Lakers as the most likely winner of the Lakers vs. Kings game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Kings lineup will feature stars like DeMar DeRozan, Zach LaVine and Russell Westbrook, while the Lakers will be led by Luka Doncic, LeBron James and Deandre Ayton.
Doncic is expected to deliver a standout performance with a projected 33 points and 3 threes.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Lakers vs. Kings prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Monday's NBA game between the Lakers and Kings 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Lakers a 78% chance of beating the Kings. Our predicted final score has the Lakers winning 117-108.
According to our model, the Kings (+9.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the 229.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.
Lakers vs. Kings odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Lakers | Kings |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -9.5 (-105) | +9.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | -370 | +300 |
| Total | o229.5 (-115) | u229.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Lakers vs. Kings picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Kings +9.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Lakers | -370 |
| Total | Under 229.5 | -105 |
According to our best NBA bets for Monday, the top play to make on this game is Under 229.5 total points.
Lakers vs. Kings player props
Betting on Lakers vs. Kings NBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Golden 1 Center.
Luka Doncic is expected to lead the Lakers with 33 points, 8 rebounds and 9 assists, while DeMar DeRozan is projected to have 20 points, 4 rebounds and 4 assists for the Kings.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Lakers prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Lakers are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic | 33 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 64 |
| LeBron James | 24 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 47 |
| Deandre Ayton | 15 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 32 |
| Jake LaRavia | 11 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 26 |
| Marcus Smart | 11 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 25 |
Kings prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Kings:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan | 20 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 36 |
| Zach LaVine | 19 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 32 |
| R. Westbrook | 17 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 42 |
| Malik Monk | 12 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 24 |
| Maxime Raynaud | 11 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 24 |
Lakers vs. Kings game-day updates and essential details
Monday's action between the Kings and Lakers at Golden 1 Center is scheduled to commence at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Los Angeles Lakers vs. Sacramento Kings
- Date: Monday, January 12, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Golden 1 Center
Conclusion
We predict the Lakers, with a 78% win probability, will likely beat the Kings on Monday, with Luka Doncic projected for a game-high 64 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Lakers vs. Kings insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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