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Lakers vs. Warriors prediction: Lakers to win, Luka Doncic projected for 34 points in Saturday's NBA game [2/28/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors predictions for NBA Saturday.
The Golden State Warriors will face the Los Angeles Lakers in NBA action at Chase Center on Saturday, starting at 8:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Lakers as the most likely winner of the Lakers vs. Warriors game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Warriors lineup will feature players like De'Anthony Melton, Brandin Podziemski and Gui Santos, while the Lakers will rely on Luka Doncic, Austin Reaves and LeBron James.
Doncic is expected to deliver a standout performance with a projected 34 points and 4 threes.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Lakers vs. Warriors prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NBA matchup between the Lakers and Warriors 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Lakers a 67% chance of defeating the Warriors. Our predicted final score has the Lakers winning 117-112.
According to our model, the Lakers (-4.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 229.5 points has a 51% chance of staying under.
Lakers vs. Warriors odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Lakers | Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -4.5 (-108) | +4.5 (-112) |
| Moneyline | -170 | +146 |
| Total | o229.5 (-108) | u229.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Lakers vs. Warriors picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Lakers -4.5 | -108 |
| Moneyline | Lakers | -170 |
| Total | Under 229.5 | -110 |
According to our best NBA bets for Saturday, the top play to make on this game is Lakers to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Lakers vs. Warriors player props
NBA player props are an enjoyable way to wager on Saturday's Lakers vs. Warriors game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Chase Center.
Luka Doncic is expected to lead the Lakers with 34 points, 8 rebounds and 8 assists, while De'Anthony Melton is projected to have 15 points, 3 rebounds and 3 assists for the Warriors.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Lakers prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Lakers are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic | 34 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 63 |
| Austin Reaves | 22 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 41 |
| LeBron James | 19 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 43 |
| Deandre Ayton | 11 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 27 |
| Marcus Smart | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 20 |
Warriors prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Warriors:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Melton | 15 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 29 |
| B. Podziemski | 14 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 33 |
| Gui Santos | 13 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 30 |
| Moses Moody | 13 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 25 |
| K. Porzingis | 12 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 22 |
Lakers vs. Warriors game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's matchup between the Warriors and Lakers at Chase Center is scheduled to begin at 8:30 PM ET.
- Who: Los Angeles Lakers vs. Golden State Warriors
- Date: Saturday, February 28, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
- Venue: Chase Center
Conclusion
We predict the Lakers, with a 67% win probability, will likely beat the Warriors on Saturday, with Luka Doncic projected for a game-high 63 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Lakers vs. Warriors insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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