NBA picks today: Saturday's best bets include Raptors vs. Wizards play [2/28/2026]

Wizards +13.5 (-110)

• Edge: 4.5%
• Probability: 56.9%
• Matchup: Raptors vs. Wizards (7:00PM ET, Saturday)

Our model has identified value on Wizards +13.5 at -110 odds. A 56.9% probability produces an edge of 4.5%, making this the strongest play for today's NBA slate.

Lakers ML (-170)

• Edge: 4.2%
• Probability: 67.2%
• Matchup: Lakers vs. Warriors (8:30PM ET, Saturday)

Lakers ML carries a 4.2% edge and a probability of 67.2% at -170 odds, according to our model.

Nuggets ML (-120)

• Edge: 3.3%
• Probability: 57.9%
• Matchup: Timberwolves vs. Nuggets (3:30PM ET, Sunday)

Nuggets ML at -120 odds shows a 3.3% edge, supported by a 57.9% probability in simulations.

Spurs ML (-122)

• Edge: 2.3%
• Probability: 57.3%
• Matchup: Spurs vs. Knicks (1:00PM ET, Sunday)

A 2.3% edge and 57.3% probability make Spurs at the moneyline at a value play in the Spurs vs. Knicks matchup, per our model.

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets under 238.5 points (-105)

• Edge: 2.3%
• Probability: 53.5%
• Matchup: Timberwolves vs. Nuggets (3:30PM ET, Sunday)

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets under 238.5 points at -105 odds presents a 2.3% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 53.5%.

Pelicans vs. Jazz under 245.5 points (-108)

• Edge: 2.1%
• Probability: 54%
• Matchup: Pelicans vs. Jazz (9:30PM ET, Saturday)

Our model finds value on under 245.5 points in Pelicans vs. Jazz at -108 odds, supported by an edge of 2.1%.

NBA best bets summary: Saturday, 2/28/2026

As of 4:12PM ET, here are our top NBA bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
Raptors vs. Wizards	Wizards +13.5	-110 @ BetMGM	4.5%	56.9%
Lakers vs. Warriors	Lakers ML	-170 @ BetMGM	4.2%	67.2%
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	Nuggets ML	-120 @ DraftKings	3.3%	57.9%
Spurs vs. Knicks	Spurs ML	-122 @ DraftKings	2.3%	57.3%
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	Under 238.5 Points	-105 @ DraftKings	2.3%	53.5%
Pelicans vs. Jazz	Under 245.5 Points	-108 @ DraftKings	2.1%	54%

List of upcoming NBA games to bet on [2/28/2026]

• Raptors vs. Wizards (7:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Lakers vs. Warriors (8:30PM ET, Saturday)
• Pelicans vs. Jazz (9:30PM ET, Saturday)
• Spurs vs. Knicks (1:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Timberwolves vs. Nuggets (3:30PM ET, Sunday)

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Conclusion

Our NBA best bets are locked and loaded for February 28, 2026, featuring plays such as Wizards +13.5 and Lakers ML. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate NBA insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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