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Thunder vs. Mavericks Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Thunder vs. Mavericks NBA game on March 1, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Thunder
100
87
Mar 2, 1AM American Airlines Center
Mavericks
Mar 2, 1AM American Airlines Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM12 3 4 T
Thunder
36 22 25 17 100
Mavericks
25 24 20 18 87
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
ThunderOKC
Win %
>99%
<1%
MavericksDAL
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Thunder
36 22 25 17 100
Mavericks
25 24 20 18 87
Q4 00:17 Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:30 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:52 Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:04 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:25 Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:45 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:06 Mavericks makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:36 Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:57 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:11 Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Q4 00:00
End of 4th Quarter.
Q4 00:15
Thunder defensive rebound
Q4 00:15
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 00:17
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:28
Dwight Powell defensive rebound
Q4 00:30
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:47
Mavericks turnover
Q4 00:47
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jared McCain, Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins)
Q4 00:50
Dwight Powell offensive rebound
Q4 00:52
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:01
Dwight Powell defensive rebound
Q4 1:04
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:21
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Q4 1:25
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:43
Mavericks defensive rebound
Q4 1:43
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 1:45
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:06
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
100-87
Q4 2:23
Moussa Cisse defensive rebound
Q4 2:25
Mavericks personal foul
Q4 2:25
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
100-84
Q4 2:25
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q4 2:34
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Q4 2:36
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:57
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
99-84
Q4 3:10
Mavericks offensive rebound
Q4 3:10
Thunder personal foul
Q4 3:10
Dwight Powell misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q4 3:10
Mavericks offensive rebound
Q4 3:10
+1
Dwight Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
97-84
Q4 3:11
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:25
Thunder turnover
Q4 3:27
Mavericks personal foul
Q4 3:27
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Ryan Nembhard, Moussa Cisse, Dwight Powell, AJ Johnson)
Q4 3:39
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
97-83
Q4 4:06
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
97-81
Q4 4:18
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q4 4:18
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jared McCain, Alex Caruso, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams)
Q4 4:19
AJ Johnson defensive rebound
Q4 4:19
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
95-81
Q4 4:23
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 4:30
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Q4 4:34
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q4 4:43
Thunder personal foul
Q4 4:50
Thunder turnover
Q4 4:57
Thunder offensive rebound
Q4 4:57
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 4:57
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jared McCain, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams)
Q4 4:59
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 5:13
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Q4 5:16
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q4 5:19
AJ Johnson offensive rebound
Q4 5:22
AJ Johnson misses two point running layup
Q4 5:27
Thunder turnover
Q4 5:51
Thunder personal foul
Q4 5:51
+1
Caleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 2
95-78
Q4 5:51
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Ryan Nembhard, Moussa Cisse, Caleb Martin, AJ Johnson)
Q4 5:51
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jared McCain, Isaiah Hartenstein, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe)
Q4 5:51
+1
Caleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 2
95-79
Q4 6:06
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Q4 6:08
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 6:23
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Q4 6:26
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q4 6:36
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
95-77
Q4 6:54
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
93-77
Q4 7:05
Dwight Powell defensive rebound
Q4 7:07
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 7:15
Mavericks personal foul
Q4 7:15
Mavericks lineup change (Moussa Cisse, Caleb Martin, Dwight Powell, Brandon Williams, AJ Johnson)
Q4 7:15
Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Isaiah Hartenstein, Alex Caruso, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe)
Q4 7:33
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
93-75
Q4 7:42
Mavericks defensive rebound
Q4 7:42
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 7:43
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 8:04
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
93-73
Q4 8:19
AJ Johnson defensive rebound
Q4 8:22
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 8:35
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q4 8:38
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q4 8:53
Brandon Williams defensive rebound
Q4 8:56
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 9:10
Thunder personal foul
Q4 9:10
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q4 9:10
Instant replay
Q4 9:10
Jared McCain defensive rebound
Q4 9:13
Daniel Gafford misses two point dunk
Q4 9:21
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Q4 9:23
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
93-71
Q4 9:31
Mavericks personal foul
Q4 9:31
Mavericks lineup change (Caleb Martin, Dwight Powell, Brandon Williams, AJ Johnson, Daniel Gafford)
Q4 9:40
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q4 9:42
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q4 9:58
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
90-71
Q4 10:17
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
87-71
Q4 10:31
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
87-69
Q4 10:33
Isaiah Joe offensive rebound
Q4 10:36
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 10:58
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Q4 11:00
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q4 11:16
Thunder personal foul
Q4 11:26
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
85-69
Q4 11:32
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Q4 11:35
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q4 11:53
Thunder personal foul
Q3 00:00
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:00
Thunder offensive rebound
Q3 00:00
End of 3rd Quarter.
Q4 12:00
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Caleb Martin, Khris Middleton, Brandon Williams, Daniel Gafford)
Q4 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Isaiah Hartenstein, Alex Caruso, Isaiah Joe, Chet Holmgren)
Q3 00:20
Mavericks turnover
Q3 00:31
Mavericks personal foul
Q3 00:31
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
82-69
Q3 00:31
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
83-69
Q3 00:39
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
81-69
Q3 00:45
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
81-67
Q3 1:01
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
79-67
Q3 1:16
Thunder offensive rebound
Q3 1:16
Mavericks personal foul
Q3 1:16
Aaron Wiggins misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q3 1:16
Thunder offensive rebound
Q3 1:16
+1
Aaron Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
79-64
Q3 1:18
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 1:32
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Q3 1:35
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q3 1:50
Mavericks personal foul
Q3 1:50
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
77-64
Q3 1:50
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
78-64
Q3 1:50
Mavericks lineup change (Ryan Nembhard, Caleb Martin, Khris Middleton, AJ Johnson, Daniel Gafford)
Q3 2:01
Dwight Powell offensive rebound
Q3 2:01
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
76-64
Q3 2:03
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q3 2:23
Khris Middleton defensive rebound
Q3 2:26
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 2:56
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
76-62
Q3 3:14
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
76-60
Q3 3:33
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q3 3:33
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins)
Q3 3:33
Mavericks lineup change (Ryan Nembhard, Caleb Martin, Khris Middleton, Dwight Powell, AJ Johnson)
Q3 3:34
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
73-60
Q3 3:52
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
73-58
Q3 3:52
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Q3 3:55
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 4:01
Ryan Nembhard turnover
Q3 4:19
Dwight Powell defensive rebound
Q3 4:23
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 4:40
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
71-58
Q3 4:51
Thunder turnover
Q3 5:01
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Q3 5:03
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q3 5:27
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
71-55
Q3 5:35
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Q3 5:37
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q3 5:48
Moussa Cisse defensive rebound
Q3 5:51
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 6:05
Mavericks turnover
Q3 6:05
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Ryan Nembhard, Moussa Cisse, Dwight Powell, AJ Johnson)
Q3 6:05
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Aaron Wiggins, Chet Holmgren)
Q3 6:27
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
69-55
Q3 6:38
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Q3 6:40
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q3 7:04
Moussa Cisse defensive rebound
Q3 7:04
Thunder personal foul
Q3 7:07
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 7:23
Mavericks personal foul
Q3 7:23
Moussa Cisse turnover (offensive foul)
Q3 7:23
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Moussa Cisse, Dwight Powell, Brandon Williams, AJ Johnson)
Q3 7:29
Thunder personal foul
Q3 7:34
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Q3 7:35
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
66-55
Q3 7:39
Mavericks turnover
Q3 7:44
Brandon Williams defensive rebound
Q3 7:47
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 7:58
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Q3 8:01
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q3 8:11
Thunder personal foul
Q3 8:11
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Moussa Cisse, Khris Middleton, Dwight Powell, Brandon Williams)
Q3 8:20
Thunder turnover
Q3 8:23
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Q3 8:25
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 8:30
Mavericks turnover
Q3 8:45
Max Christie defensive rebound
Q3 8:48
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 8:58
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Q3 9:00
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q3 9:07
Brandon Williams offensive rebound
Q3 9:11
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q3 9:16
Thunder turnover
Q3 9:25
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
64-55
Q3 9:31
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Q3 9:34
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 9:43
Mavericks personal foul
Q3 9:47
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q3 9:49
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q3 10:04
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
64-53
Q3 10:14
Mavericks personal foul
Q3 10:23
Mavericks turnover
Q3 10:27
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 10:43
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
62-53
Q3 10:57
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
60-53
Q3 11:16
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
60-51
Q3 11:25
Thunder personal foul
Q3 11:25
+1
Daniel Gafford makes regular free throw 1 of 2
58-50
Q3 11:25
+1
Daniel Gafford makes regular free throw 2 of 2
58-51
Q3 11:41
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Q3 11:44
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:00
Mavericks turnover
Q2 00:00
End of 1st Half.
Q3 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren)
Q3 12:00
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Caleb Martin, Khris Middleton, Brandon Williams, Daniel Gafford)
Q2 00:02
Max Christie defensive rebound
Q2 00:04
Mavericks personal foul
Q2 00:04
Isaiah Hartenstein misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q2 00:04
Thunder offensive rebound
Q2 00:04
Isaiah Hartenstein misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q2 00:24
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
58-49
Q2 00:27
Ryan Nembhard defensive rebound
Q2 00:29
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 00:35
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q2 00:35
Mavericks personal foul
Q2 00:35
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe, Luguentz Dort)
Q2 00:36
Daniel Gafford offensive rebound
Q2 00:36
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q2 00:39
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q2 00:48
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Q2 00:51
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 00:56
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q2 00:57
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q2 1:09
Ryan Nembhard defensive rebound
Q2 1:12
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 1:18
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q2 1:21
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q2 1:28
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q2 1:28
Mavericks offensive rebound
Q2 1:28
Thunder personal foul
Q2 1:47
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
58-47
Q2 1:59
Thunder defensive rebound
Q2 1:59
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 1:59
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren)
Q2 1:59
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Ryan Nembhard, Caleb Martin, Khris Middleton, Daniel Gafford)
Q2 2:00
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q2 2:24
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
56-47
Q2 2:44
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
54-47
Q2 2:50
Dwight Powell defensive rebound
Q2 2:52
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 2:57
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q2 3:02
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q2 3:06
Dwight Powell defensive rebound
Q2 3:08
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 3:18
Thunder personal foul
Q2 3:18
+1
Ryan Nembhard makes regular free throw 1 of 2
54-43
Q2 3:18
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jared McCain, Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren)
Q2 3:18
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Ryan Nembhard, Klay Thompson, Dwight Powell, Daniel Gafford)
Q2 3:18
+1
Ryan Nembhard makes regular free throw 2 of 2
54-44
Q2 3:34
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
54-42
Q2 3:36
Cason Wallace offensive rebound
Q2 3:40
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 3:53
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
51-42
Q2 4:16
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
51-39
Q2 4:35
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
49-39
Q2 4:54
Max Christie defensive rebound
Q2 4:59
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 5:14
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
49-37
Q2 5:34
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
49-35
Q2 5:34
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Q2 5:34
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jared McCain, Isaiah Hartenstein, Isaiah Joe, Chet Holmgren)
Q2 5:40
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q2 5:43
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q2 5:56
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
47-35
Q2 6:04
Mavericks personal foul
Q2 6:04
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jared McCain, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams)
Q2 6:04
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Ryan Nembhard, Moussa Cisse, Klay Thompson, Dwight Powell)
Q2 6:08
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Q2 6:11
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q2 6:36
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
45-35
Q2 6:52
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
43-35
Q2 6:57
Max Christie defensive rebound
Q2 6:59
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 7:08
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
Q2 7:11
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q2 7:13
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q2 7:13
Moussa Cisse offensive rebound
Q2 7:14
Moussa Cisse offensive rebound
Q2 7:15
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q2 7:23
Moussa Cisse defensive rebound
Q2 7:26
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 7:30
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q2 7:33
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q2 7:36
Moussa Cisse defensive rebound
Q2 7:37
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 7:46
Moussa Cisse offensive rebound
Q2 7:46
Mavericks turnover
Q2 7:47
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q2 7:50
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q2 7:50
Mavericks offensive rebound
Q2 7:50
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 7:50
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Moussa Cisse, Caleb Martin, Khris Middleton, Brandon Williams)
Q2 8:02
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
43-33
Q2 8:14
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
41-33
Q2 8:24
Max Christie defensive rebound
Q2 8:28
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 8:40
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Q2 8:43
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q2 8:53
Khris Middleton defensive rebound
Q2 8:56
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 9:11
Thunder personal foul
Q2 9:11
+1
Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
41-29
Q2 9:11
+1
Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
41-30
Q2 9:11
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Caleb Martin, Khris Middleton, Brandon Williams, Daniel Gafford)
Q2 9:22
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Q2 9:25
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 9:39
Mavericks offensive rebound
Q2 9:39
Thunder personal foul
Q2 9:39
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q2 9:39
Instant replay
Q2 9:42
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q2 9:51
Caleb Martin offensive rebound
Q2 9:54
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q2 10:10
Thunder personal foul
Q2 10:10
Jaylin Williams turnover (offensive foul)
Q2 10:20
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
41-28
Q2 10:30
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
41-25
Q2 10:34
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Q2 10:36
Brandon Williams misses two point jump shot
Q2 10:47
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Q2 10:49
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 11:00
Mavericks turnover
Q2 11:20
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
39-25
Q2 11:26
Jared McCain defensive rebound
Q2 11:28
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q2 11:38
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Q2 11:40
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 00:00
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:00
Mavericks offensive rebound
Q1 00:00
End of 1st Quarter.
Q2 12:00
Mavericks lineup change (Caleb Martin, Khris Middleton, Klay Thompson, Brandon Williams, Daniel Gafford)
Q2 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Alex Caruso, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams, Kenrich Williams)
Q1 00:04
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
36-25
Q1 00:21
Mavericks personal foul
Q1 00:21
Caleb Martin turnover (offensive foul)
Q1 00:31
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
34-25
Q1 00:34
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Q1 00:35
Thunder personal foul
Q1 00:35
+1
Caleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 2
32-25
Q1 00:35
Caleb Martin misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q1 00:49
Moussa Cisse defensive rebound
Q1 00:52
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:55
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Q1 00:58
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q1 1:17
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
32-24
Q1 1:39
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
30-24
Q1 1:59
Moussa Cisse defensive rebound
Q1 2:01
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 2:13
Mavericks turnover
Q1 2:18
AJ Johnson defensive rebound
Q1 2:21
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 2:33
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
30-22
Q1 2:33
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q1 2:33
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins)
Q1 2:33
Mavericks lineup change (Ryan Nembhard, Moussa Cisse, Caleb Martin, Klay Thompson, AJ Johnson)
Q1 2:38
Moussa Cisse defensive rebound
Q1 2:42
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 2:45
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q1 2:49
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q1 2:53
Moussa Cisse defensive rebound
Q1 2:55
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 3:04
Mavericks turnover
Q1 3:19
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
30-20
Q1 3:21
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Q1 3:22
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 3:28
Mavericks turnover
Q1 3:40
AJ Johnson defensive rebound
Q1 3:43
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 3:49
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Q1 3:52
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q1 4:16
Thunder turnover
Q1 4:31
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
28-20
Q1 4:39
Mavericks personal foul
Q1 4:39
+1
Isaiah Joe makes technical free throw 1 of 1
28-17
Q1 4:39
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Ryan Nembhard, Moussa Cisse, Klay Thompson, AJ Johnson)
Q1 4:42
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
27-17
Q1 4:54
Mavericks personal foul
Q1 5:03
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
25-17
Q1 5:12
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 5:21
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
25-15
Q1 5:34
Mavericks personal foul
Q1 5:34
Klay Thompson turnover (offensive foul)
Q1 5:34
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Ryan Nembhard, Klay Thompson, Dwight Powell, AJ Johnson)
Q1 5:38
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 5:38
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Isaiah Joe, Luguentz Dort, Aaron Wiggins, Chet Holmgren)
Q1 5:50
Max Christie defensive rebound
Q1 5:53
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Q1 5:53
Mavericks personal foul
Q1 5:53
+1
Isaiah Hartenstein makes regular free throw 1 of 2
23-15
Q1 5:53
Isaiah Hartenstein misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q1 5:53
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Ryan Nembhard, Khris Middleton, Klay Thompson, Dwight Powell)
Q1 5:54
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 6:05
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
22-15
Q1 6:18
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
22-13
Q1 6:20
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 6:20
Thunder offensive rebound
Q1 6:20
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 6:29
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q1 6:32
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q1 6:44
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
19-13
Q1 6:49
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Q1 6:52
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q1 7:00
Max Christie defensive rebound
Q1 7:03
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 7:17
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
16-13
Q1 7:23
Dwight Powell defensive rebound
Q1 7:25
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 7:47
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
16-11
Q1 7:57
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
16-9
Q1 7:57
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Q1 7:57
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Khris Middleton, Klay Thompson, Dwight Powell, Brandon Williams)
Q1 7:57
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort, Aaron Wiggins, Chet Holmgren)
Q1 8:04
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Q1 8:07
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q1 8:22
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
14-9
Q1 8:29
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Q1 8:31
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q1 8:43
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
12-9
Q1 8:46
Mavericks turnover
Q1 8:57
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
10-9
Q1 8:57
Mavericks violation
Q1 9:03
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Q1 9:04
Daniel Gafford offensive rebound
Q1 9:04
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q1 9:08
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q1 9:18
Thunder personal foul
Q1 9:18
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (offensive foul)
Q1 9:23
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 9:26
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q1 9:28
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q1 9:38
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
8-9
Q1 9:46
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q1 9:49
Thunder personal foul
Q1 9:49
Caleb Martin misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q1 9:49
Mavericks offensive rebound
Q1 9:49
Caleb Martin misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q1 9:56
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
6-9
Q1 10:08
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
4-9
Q1 10:22
Mavericks personal foul
Q1 10:22
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
3-7
Q1 10:22
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
4-7
Q1 10:30
Thunder personal foul
Q1 10:30
+1
Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
2-6
Q1 10:30
+1
Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
2-7
Q1 10:38
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 10:51
Mavericks defensive rebound
Q1 10:51
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 10:53
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 10:54
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Q1 10:57
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 11:12
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
2-5
Q1 11:30
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
2-2
Q1 11:47
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
0-2
Q1 12:00
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Caleb Martin, Khris Middleton, Brandon Williams, Daniel Gafford)
Q1 12:00
Start of 1st Quarter
Q1 12:00
(Caleb Martin gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
Thunder
PosPlayerPts Reb Ast
F6 J. Williams 0 5 2
G21 A. Wiggins 6 0 0
G3 J. McCain 11 1 1
G11 I. Joe 14 5 0
G22 C. Wallace 4 6 8
Mavericks
PosPlayerPts Reb Ast
G8 A. Johnson 6 4 4
G9 R. Nembhard 7 2 5
F-C7 D. Powell 9 9 2
C30 M. Cisse 0 12 0
G0 M. Christie 14 7 0

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Thunder vs. Mavericks: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Thunder vs. Mavericks
  • Date: Sunday, March 1, 2026
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: American Airlines Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Thunder favored at -16.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 236.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Thunder -1200, Mavericks +800

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Thunder: 88%
  • Mavericks: 12%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Thunder 124-111 Mavericks.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Thunder a win probability of 88%, while the Mavericks have a win probability of 12%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Mavericks in the NBA game at American Airlines Center on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Thunder vs. Mavericks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.

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