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Kings vs. Penguins prediction: Why Los Angeles is favored to win Sunday's NHL matchup [11/9/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Los Angeles Kings vs Pittsburgh Penguins predictions for NHL Sunday.
The Pittsburgh Penguins will take on the Los Angeles Kings in NHL action at PPG Paints Arena on Sunday, beginning at 2:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model predicts the Kings as the most likely winner of the Kings vs. Penguins game.
This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including goal scorer projections, best bets and player prop picks.
Kings vs. Penguins prediction: Who will win, cover the puck line?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NHL game between the Kings and Penguins 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Kings a 56% chance of defeating the Penguins.
According to our model, the Penguins (+1.5) have a 65% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 6 goals has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Kings vs. Penguins odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Kings | Penguins |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | -1.5 (+154) | +1.5 (-175) |
| Moneyline | -162 | +136 |
| Total | o6 (-115) | u6 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Kings vs. Penguins picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Penguins +1.5 | -175 |
| Moneyline | Penguins | +136 |
| Total | Under 6 | -105 |
According to our best NHL bets, the top play to make on this game is Penguins to win.
Kings vs. Penguins player props
Who will score a goal in Kings vs. Penguins?
According to our model, Sidney Crosby is most likely to score an anytime goal in Kings vs. Penguins.
Our projections give Crosby a 35.2% chance of scoring a goal at PPG Paints Arena, while the star is a 7.0% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Los Angeles Kings
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Adrian Kempe | 34.9% |
| Kevin Fiala | 32.6% |
| Quinton Byfield | 25.9% |
| Alex Laferriere | 24.0% |
| Corey Perry | 23.3% |
Pittsburgh Penguins
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Sidney Crosby | 35.2% |
| Bryan Rust | 33.1% |
| Anthony Mantha | 25.8% |
| Evgeni Malkin | 21.6% |
| Ben Kindel | 18.7% |
First goal scorer predictions
Los Angeles Kings
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Adrian Kempe | 7.2% |
| Kevin Fiala | 6.5% |
| Quinton Byfield | 5.0% |
| Corey Perry | 4.7% |
| Alex Laferriere | 4.5% |
Pittsburgh Penguins
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Sidney Crosby | 7.0% |
| Bryan Rust | 6.4% |
| Anthony Mantha | 4.9% |
| Evgeni Malkin | 3.8% |
| Kevin Hayes | 3.1% |
Kings vs. Penguins game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's action between the Penguins and Kings at PPG Paints Arena is scheduled to begin at 2:00PM ET.
- Who: Los Angeles Kings vs. Pittsburgh Penguins
- Date: Sunday, November 9, 2025
- Time: 2:00PM ET/11:00AM PT
- Venue: PPG Paints Arena
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Conclusion
We predict the Kings, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat the Penguins on Sunday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Kings vs. Penguins insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on NHL
Stay informed with the latest NHL news and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds provide the most up-to-date probabilities for the Stanley Cup title.
Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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