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Kings vs. Stars prediction: Dallas favored to win Thursday's NHL matchup [10/23/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Los Angeles Kings vs Dallas Stars predictions for NHL Thursday.
The Dallas Stars will take on the Los Angeles Kings in NHL action at American Airlines Center on Thursday, beginning at 9:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model predicts the Stars as the most likely winner of the Kings vs. Stars game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including goal scorer projections, best bets and player prop picks.
Kings vs. Stars prediction: Who will win, cover the puck line?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NHL game between the Kings and Stars 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Stars a 53% chance of beating the Kings.
According to our model, the Kings (+1.5) have a 69% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 5.5 goals has a 53% chance of going over.
Kings vs. Stars odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Kings | Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-218) | -1.5 (+180) |
| Moneyline | +114 | -135 |
| Total | o5.5 (-120) | u5.5 (+100) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Kings vs. Stars picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Kings +1.5 | -218 |
| Moneyline | Kings | +114 |
| Total | Over 5.5 | -120 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Kings moneyline.
Kings vs. Stars player props
Who will score a goal in Kings vs. Stars?
According to our model, Mikko Rantanen is most likely to score an anytime goal in Kings vs. Stars.
Our projections give Rantanen a 37.1% chance of scoring a goal at American Airlines Center, while the star is a 7.9% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Los Angeles Kings
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Adrian Kempe | 32.9% |
| Kevin Fiala | 31.6% |
| Quinton Byfield | 27.2% |
| Andrei Kuzmenko | 21.6% |
| Trevor Moore | 20.5% |
Dallas Stars
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Mikko Rantanen | 37.1% |
| Wyatt Johnston | 35.9% |
| Jason Robertson | 33.4% |
| Roope Hintz | 29.4% |
| Tyler Seguin | 27.3% |
First goal scorer predictions
Los Angeles Kings
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Kevin Fiala | 6.8% |
| Adrian Kempe | 6.2% |
| Quinton Byfield | 5.4% |
| Trevor Moore | 4.2% |
| Andrei Kuzmenko | 3.7% |
Dallas Stars
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Mikko Rantanen | 7.9% |
| Wyatt Johnston | 7.7% |
| Jason Robertson | 6.5% |
| Roope Hintz | 5.7% |
| Tyler Seguin | 5.3% |
Kings vs. Stars game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's matchup between the Stars and Kings at American Airlines Center is scheduled to begin at 9:00PM ET.
- Who: Los Angeles Kings vs. Dallas Stars
- Date: Thursday, October 23, 2025
- Time: 9:00PM ET/6:00PM PT
- Venue: American Airlines Center
Conclusion
We predict the Stars, with a 53% win probability, will likely beat the Kings on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Kings vs. Stars insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Stay informed with the latest NHL betting news and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds provide the latest predictions for the Stanley Cup title.
Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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