Dodgers vs. Yankees prediction: Yankees favored to win Friday's MLB matchup [7/17/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees predictions for MLB Friday.

Los Angeles Dodgers-New York Yankees Predictions and Game Preview.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees MLB prediction for Friday, July 17, 2026.

MLB action continues on Friday at 7:05 PM ET as the Los Angeles Dodgers lock horns with the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium.

The Yankees will send Gerrit Cole (3-4, 4.04 ERA) to the mound, up against Roki Sasaki (3-5, 5.33 ERA) for the Dodgers.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Yankees a slight edge with a 51.5% win probability over the Dodgers.

This article offers a closer look at Friday's Dodgers vs. Yankees matchup, including best bets and picks.

Dodgers vs. Yankees prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's MLB game between the Dodgers and Yankees, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Yankees a 51.5% chance of beating the Dodgers.

According to our model, the Yankees (+1.5) have a 61.4% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 9.5 runs has a 54.2% chance of going over,.

 

Dodgers vs. Yankees odds [7/17/2026]

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Dodgers Yankees
Run Line -1.5 (+150) +1.5 (-156)
Moneyline -104 +102
Total o9.5 (+117) u9.5 (-122)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Dodgers vs. Yankees picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Run Line Yankees +1.5 -156
Moneyline Yankees +102
Total Over 9.5 +117

According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 9.5 total runs.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Dodgers vs. Yankees game-day updates and essential details

Friday's MLB game between the Yankees and Dodgers at Yankee Stadium is scheduled to start at 7:05 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Yankees, with a 51.5% win probability, will likely beat the Dodgers in Friday's MLB matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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