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Los Angeles Chargers vs. New England Patriots updated prediction featuring Omarion Hampton, TreVeyon Henderson [Wild Card Game, 2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get new expert Chargers vs Patriots predictions for Sunday's game.
Dimers' latest NFL predictions are live for New England Patriots vs. Los Angeles Chargers in Wild Card round of the playoffs, with our model giving the Patriots a 63% of winning.
As Sunday approaches, both teams have updated their injury reports. A few lineup decisions are still up in the air, and those could shape how each side approaches this AFC showdown.
Since our early Patriots-Chargers predictions, we’ve updated the win probabilities, score projections, and TD odds for Omarion Hampton, TreVeyon Henderson, and others.
For the full simulation breakdown—including spreads, totals, touchdown probabilities, and the full list of player props—head to our Chargers vs. Patriots page.
What's changed? LA Chargers vs. New England updated predictions
Our NFL predictions model has been re-run with the newest available data, creating a clearer picture of how this Chargers vs. Patriots matchup stacks up. Here are the updated forecasts:
- Straight Up Win Probabilities: Chargers 37%, Patriots 63%
- Predicted Final Score: Chargers 21-25 Patriots
- Spread: Chargers (+3.5) 50%, Patriots (-3.5) 50%
- Total Points (46.5): Over 50%, Under 50%
As of January 8, 2026, these Chargers-Patriots calculations reflect changes since our early-week simulation.
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions
New NFL player projections for Wild Card Weekend highlight the top candidates to find the end zone in Chargers-Patriots on Sunday:
Los Angeles Chargers
- Omarion Hampton: 43.8% probability
- Quentin Johnston: 29.5% probability
- Ladd McConkey: 29.3% probability
New England Patriots
- TreVeyon Henderson: 42.3% probability
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 39.9% probability
- Hunter Henry: 32.6% probability
Chargers vs. Patriots latest odds
The best current odds from the top sportsbooks in the US:
- Spread: Chargers +3.5 (-108), Patriots -3.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Chargers +166, Patriots -185
- Total: Over/Under 46.5 (-104/-115)
Odds are correct at time of publication and are subject to change—track live updates via our NFL odds page.
Chargers vs. Patriots Wild Card Game details
Sunday's action between the Patriots and Chargers at Gillette Stadium is scheduled for January 11, 2026.
- Who: Los Angeles Chargers vs. New England Patriots
- Date: Sunday, January 11, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Gillette Stadium
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Conclusion
We predict the Patriots, with a 63% win probability, will likely beat the Chargers in this NFL postseason matchup. Dimers.com will provide full game coverage closer to kickoff, so stay tuned for updates.
Enhanced by AI and automation, this article delivers quick, accurate insights on the Chargers vs. Patriots matchup, with human oversight maintaining high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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