Jun 23, 2026
Tennis bets today: Eight picks for Tuesday ft. Darderi vs. Hanfmann [6/23/2026]
Read Article Lorenzo Sonego vs. Miomir Kecmanovic prediction, odds, picks for ATP Mallorca Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Sonego vs Kecmanovic predictions for ATP Mallorca Open.
Lorenzo Sonego will face Miomir Kecmanovic in the round of 16 at the ATP Mallorca event on Tuesday.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Miomir Kecmanovic as the most likely winner of the Sonego vs. Kecmanovic match.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's match, including best bets and picks.
Sonego vs. Kecmanovic prediction: Who will win and advance to the quarterfinals?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's Sonego-Kecmanovic men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives Kecmanovic a 51% chance of winning against Sonego at the ATP Mallorca Open tournament.
Additionally, Sonego has a 51% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show that the bookmakers have got it right with the +0.5 games spread, with each player projected to have a 50-50 chance of covering, while the under 23.5 games has a 55% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Lorenzo Sonego vs. Miomir Kecmanovic odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Sonego | Kecmanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +105 | -123 |
| First Set | +100 | -125 |
| Game Spread | +0.5 (-110) | -0.5 (-122) |
| Total Games | o23.5 (-110) | u23.5 (-122) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Sonego vs. Kecmanovic picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Sonego | +105 |
| First Set | Kecmanovic | -122 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 23.5 total games.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Sonego vs. Kecmanovic updates and essential details
The ATP Mallorca Open match between Lorenzo Sonego and Miomir Kecmanovic is scheduled to commence on Tuesday at 7:30 AM ET.
- Who: Lorenzo Sonego vs. Miomir Kecmanovic
- Date: Tuesday, June 23, 2026
- Approx. Time: 7:30 AM ET/4:30AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Mallorca, Spain Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 16
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Miomir Kecmanovic, with a 51% win probability, will likely beat Lorenzo Sonego at the ATP Mallorca Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
Advertiser disclosure
