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Lorenzo Sonego vs. Matteo Berrettini prediction, odds, picks for ATP Rio Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Get Sonego vs Berrettini predictions for ATP Rio Open.
Lorenzo Sonego will take on Matteo Berrettini in the round of 32 at the ATP Rio de Janeiro event on Monday.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model projects Matteo Berrettini as the most likely winner of the Sonego vs. Berrettini match.
This article offers a closer look at Monday's match, including best bets and picks.
Sonego vs. Berrettini prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 16?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Monday's Sonego-Berrettini men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives Berrettini a 64% chance of winning against Sonego at the ATP Rio Open tournament.
Lorenzo Sonego vs. Matteo Berrettini odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Sonego | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +185 | -220 |
| Total Games | o22.5 (-115) | u22.5 (-125) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Sonego vs. Berrettini picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Sonego | +185 |
| First Set | Berrettini | -115 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is *Lorenzo Sonego to win.
Sonego vs. Berrettini updates and essential details
The ATP Rio Open match between Lorenzo Sonego and Matteo Berrettini is scheduled to commence on Monday at 2:00 PM ET.
- Who: Lorenzo Sonego vs. Matteo Berrettini
- Date: Monday, February 16, 2026
- Approx. Time: 2:00 PM ET/11:00AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Rio de Janeiro, Brazil Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 32
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Matteo Berrettini, with a 64% win probability, will likely beat Lorenzo Sonego at the ATP Rio Open tournament.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Sonego vs. Berrettini insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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