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Lorenzo Musetti vs. Taylor Fritz prediction, odds, picks for 2026 Australian Open

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Written by Mac Douglass

Get Musetti vs Fritz predictions for 2026 Australian Open.

Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Tennis Prediction.
Our Lorenzo Musetti and Taylor Fritz tennis prediction is based on thousands of simulations of the upcoming match.

Lorenzo Musetti will square off with Taylor Fritz in the fourth round of the 2026 Australian Open on Sunday.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model projects Taylor Fritz as the most likely winner of the Musetti vs. Fritz match.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.

Musetti vs. Fritz prediction: Who will win and advance to the quarterfinals?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's Musetti-Fritz men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Fritz a 55% chance of beating Musetti in the 2026 Australian Open.

Additionally, Fritz has a 52% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Fritz (-0.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 40.5 games has a 56% chance of hitting**, according to our model.

 

Lorenzo Musetti vs. Taylor Fritz odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type Musetti Fritz
Moneyline +115 -134
First Set +100 -125
Game Spread +0.5 (-110) -0.5 (-145)
Total Games o40.5 (-116) u40.5 (-116)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Musetti vs. Fritz picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Moneyline Musetti +115
First Set Fritz -116

According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is Lorenzo Musetti to win the first set.

Musetti vs. Fritz updates and essential details

The 2026 Australian Open match between Lorenzo Musetti and Taylor Fritz is scheduled to commence on Sunday at 10:00 PM ET.

  • Who: Lorenzo Musetti vs. Taylor Fritz
  • Date: Sunday, January 25, 2026
  • Approx. Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
  • Tournament: 2026 Australian Open, Men's Singles
  • Round: Fourth round

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Taylor Fritz, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat Lorenzo Musetti at the 2026 Australian Open.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Musetti vs. Fritz insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

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Written by
Mac Douglass
Senior Editor

Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.

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