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Raiders vs. Chargers prediction: Chargers favored to win in NFL Week 13, 2025

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Written by Ryan Leaver

Get Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers predictions for NFL Sunday.

Las Vegas Raiders-Los Angeles Chargers Predictions and Game Preview.
Las Vegas Raiders vs. Los Angeles Chargers NFL prediction for Sunday, November 30, 2025.

The Los Angeles Chargers will square off with the Las Vegas Raiders in NFL Week 13 action at SoFi Stadium on Sunday, starting at 4:25PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven NFL model predicts the Chargers as the most likely winner of the Raiders vs. Chargers game.

This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Raiders vs. Chargers prediction: Who will win and cover?

Since our Raiders-Chargers predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Raiders and Chargers 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Chargers an 81% chance of defeating the Raiders in Week 13 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Chargers winning 23-15.

According to our model, the Raiders (+9.5) have a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 40.5 points has a 54% chance of staying under.

 

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 13 straight up picks.

Raiders vs. Chargers odds

We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Raiders Chargers
Spread +9.5 (-105) -9.5 (-112)
Moneyline +425 -520
Total o40.5 (-110) u40.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Raiders vs. Chargers picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Spread Raiders +9.5 -105
Moneyline Raiders +425
Total Under 40.5 -105

According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Raiders +9.5 at the spread.

 

Raiders vs. Chargers TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in Raiders vs. Chargers?

According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for today, Kimani Vidal is most likely to score an anytime TD in Raiders vs. Chargers.

Our projections give Vidal a 49.3% chance of scoring a TD at SoFi Stadium, while the running back is a 14.3% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Las Vegas Raiders

Player Anytime TD Probability
Ashton Jeanty (RB) 40.4%
Brock Bowers (TE) 33.0%
Tre Tucker (WR) 23.7%
Raheem Mostert (RB) 16.9%
Tyler Lockett (WR) 13.9%

Los Angeles Chargers

Player Anytime TD Probability
Kimani Vidal (RB) 49.3%
Ladd McConkey (WR) 32.2%
Quentin Johnston (WR) 31.6%
Keenan Allen (WR) 30.0%
Oronde Gadsden (TE) 27.6%

First touchdown scorer predictions

Las Vegas Raiders

Player First TD Probability
Ashton Jeanty (RB) 10.2%
Brock Bowers (TE) 7.9%
Tre Tucker (WR) 5.4%
Raheem Mostert (RB) 3.7%
Tyler Lockett (WR) 3.0%

Los Angeles Chargers

Player First TD Probability
Kimani Vidal (RB) 14.3%
Ladd McConkey (WR) 8.2%
Quentin Johnston (WR) 8.0%
Keenan Allen (WR) 7.5%
Oronde Gadsden (TE) 6.8%

Raiders vs Chargers player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Raiders and Chargers. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 13 games.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Raiders' Geno Smith is projected for 210 passing yards, while the Chargers' Justin Herbert is expected to throw for 246 yards.

Player Proj. Pass Yards
Geno Smith (LV) 210
Justin Herbert (LAC) 246

Raiders rushing

Player Proj. Rush Yards
Ashton Jeanty 60
Raheem Mostert 18
Geno Smith 12

Chargers rushing

Player Proj. Rush Yards
Kimani Vidal 69
Justin Herbert 20
Jaret Patterson 13

Raiders receiving

Player Proj. Rec. Yards
Brock Bowers 59
Tre Tucker 44
Tyler Lockett 33
Ashton Jeanty 25
Ian Thomas 15

Chargers receiving

Player Proj. Rec. Yards
Ladd McConkey 59
Oronde Gadsden 50
Keenan Allen 46
Quentin Johnston 45
Tre' Harris 19

Raiders vs. Chargers game-day updates and essential details

The NFL Week 13 game between the Chargers and Raiders at SoFi Stadium is scheduled to commence at 4:25PM ET.

 

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Conclusion

We predict the Chargers, with an 81% win probability, will likely beat the Raiders in Week 13 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Raiders vs. Chargers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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