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Raiders vs. Chiefs prediction: Kansas City favored to win in NFL Week 7, 2025

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Written by Ryan Leaver

Get Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs predictions for NFL Sunday.

Las Vegas Raiders-Kansas City Chiefs Predictions and Game Preview.
Las Vegas Raiders vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL prediction for Sunday, October 19, 2025.

The Kansas City Chiefs and Las Vegas Raiders will lock horns in Week 7 of the NFL season at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday, with kickoff at 1:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven NFL model predicts the Chiefs as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Raiders-Chiefs game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Chiefs with a win probability of 89%, while the Raiders have 11%."

This gameday Raiders vs. Chiefs betting preview builds on my Raiders vs. Chiefs prediction that was published earlier in the week.

For a closer look at today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Raiders vs. Chiefs predictions page.

Raiders vs. Chiefs predictions

Since our Raiders-Chiefs predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL game between the Raiders and Chiefs 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Chiefs an 89% chance of defeating the Raiders in Week 7 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Chiefs winning 28-15.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Raiders and Chiefs each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 44.5-point over/under also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

 

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 7 straight up picks.

Raiders vs. Chiefs odds

We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Raiders Chiefs
Spread +12.5 (+100) -12.5 (-118)
Moneyline +650 -850
Total o44.5 (+100) u44.5 (-108)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Raiders vs. Chiefs picks and best bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Raiders vs. Chiefs matchup is on the spread.

Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best NFL picks and NFL best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Raiders vs. Chiefs TD scorers

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Raiders vs. Chiefs?

According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for Week 7, Las Vegas' Ashton Jeanty is most likely to score the first touchdown in Raiders vs. Chiefs.

Our projections give Jeanty an 11.8% chance of scoring the first TD at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, while the Raiders running back is a 46.6% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

First touchdown scorer predictions

Las Vegas Raiders

Player First TD Probability
Ashton Jeanty (RB) 11.8%
Tre Tucker (WR) 5.6%
Michael Mayer (TE) 4.1%

Kansas City Chiefs

Player First TD Probability
Rashee Rice (WR) 9.5%
Kareem Hunt (RB) 8.2%
Xavier Worthy (WR) 7.9%

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Las Vegas Raiders

Player Anytime TD Probability
Ashton Jeanty (RB) 46.6%
Tre Tucker (WR) 25.7%
Michael Mayer (TE) 19.5%

Kansas City Chiefs

Player Anytime TD Probability
Rashee Rice (WR) 37.9%
Kareem Hunt (RB) 33.9%
Xavier Worthy (WR) 32.8%

Raiders vs Chiefs player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Raiders and Chiefs. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our NFL player projections page now to access player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 7 games.

Raiders vs. Chiefs quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Raiders' Geno Smith is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes.

Raiders rushing

Ashton Jeanty, Raheem Mostert and Geno Smith are projected to be the leading rushers for the Raiders.

Player Position
Ashton Jeanty RB
Raheem Mostert RB
Geno Smith QB

Chiefs rushing

Isiah Pacheco, Kareem Hunt and Patrick Mahomes are expected to lead the Chiefs in rushing yards.

Player Position
Isiah Pacheco RB
Kareem Hunt RB
Patrick Mahomes QB

Raiders receiving

Tre Tucker, Michael Mayer, Jack Bech, Dont'e Thornton and Ashton Jeanty are projected to top the receiving yards for the Raiders.

Player Position
Tre Tucker WR
Michael Mayer TE
Jack Bech WR
Dont'e Thornton WR
Ashton Jeanty RB

Chiefs receiving

Rashee Rice, Xavier Worthy, Travis Kelce, Hollywood Brown and JuJu Smith-Schuster are projected to lead the Chiefs in receiving yards.

Player Position
Rashee Rice WR
Xavier Worthy WR
Travis Kelce TE
Hollywood Brown WR
JuJu Smith-Schuster WR

Raiders vs. Chiefs game-day updates and essential details

The NFL Week 7 action between the Chiefs and Raiders at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium is scheduled to start at 1:00PM ET.

Dimers' comprehensive preview of this week's Raiders vs. Chiefs matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Raiders vs. Chiefs picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Plus, with Missouri sports betting launching on December 1, 2025, Dimers is your go-to source for the latest updates and the best pre-registration offers in MO.

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Conclusion

We predict the Chiefs, with an 89% win probability, will likely beat the Raiders in Week 7 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Raiders vs. Chiefs insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NFL

Keep up with the latest NFL news and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds provide the latest probabilities for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.

Boost your NFL betting by exploring the latest NFL betting promos, sourced from top sportsbooks and DFS operators.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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