Kentucky vs. Florida prediction: Florida favored to win men's college basketball matchup [3/13/2026]

Florida and Kentucky will lock horns in men's college basketball action at Bridgestone Arena on Friday, starting at 1:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven college basketball model projects Florida as the most likely winner of the Kentucky vs. Florida game.

This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Kentucky vs. Florida prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's NCAA basketball matchup between Kentucky and Florida 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Florida an 86% chance of beating Kentucky. Our predicted final score has Florida winning 86-74.

According to our model, Florida (-10.5) has a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 161.5 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Kentucky vs. Florida odds

We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Kentucky	Florida
Spread	+10.5 (-110)	-10.5 (-105)
Moneyline	+475	-580
Total	o161.5 (-105)	u161.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Kentucky vs. Florida picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Florida -10.5	-105
Moneyline	Florida	-580
Total	Over 161.5	-105

According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Florida -10.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Kentucky vs. Florida game-day updates and essential details

Friday's men's college basketball game between Florida and Kentucky at Bridgestone Arena is scheduled to start at 1:00 PM ET.

• Who: Kentucky vs. Florida
• Date: Friday, March 13, 2026
• Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: Bridgestone Arena

College basketball betting promos and codes

Make the most of Dimers' Kentucky vs. Florida predictions by exploring the below offers from Bet365 and BetMGM.

Bet365 Sportsbook

Join Bet365 Sportsbook! Bet $5, get $150 in bonus bets win or lose with code "DIMERS".

BetMGM

Sign up to BetMGM with code "DIMERS" now to unlock their 'Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win' offer.

Conclusion

We predict Florida, with an 86% win probability, will likely beat Kentucky on Friday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Kentucky vs. Florida insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.