Karolina Pliskova vs. Ekaterina Alexandrova prediction, odds, picks for WTA Linz Open 2026

Karolina Pliskova and Ekaterina Alexandrova will meet in the round of 16 of the WTA Linz Open event on Thursday.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Ekaterina Alexandrova as the most likely winner of the Pliskova vs. Alexandrova match.

This article offers a closer look at Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.

Pliskova vs. Alexandrova prediction: Who will win and advance to the quarterfinals?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's Pliskova-Alexandrova women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Alexandrova a 73% chance of beating Pliskova at the WTA Linz Open tournament.

Additionally, Alexandrova has a 69% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show that the bookmakers have got it right with the -4.5 games spread, with each player projected to have a 50-50 chance of covering, while the under 21.5 games has a 54% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Karolina Pliskova vs. Ekaterina Alexandrova odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Pliskova vs. Alexandrova picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Karolina Pliskova to win.

Although Pliskova is less than likely to win, she provides the best value at the current available odds.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Pliskova vs. Alexandrova updates and essential details

The WTA Linz Open match between Karolina Pliskova and Ekaterina Alexandrova is scheduled to begin on Thursday at 12:00 PM ET.

• Who: Karolina Pliskova vs. Ekaterina Alexandrova
• Date: Thursday, April 9, 2026
• Approx. Time: 12:00 PM ET/9:00AM PT
• Tournament: WTA Linz, Austria Women's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 16

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Ekaterina Alexandrova, with a 73% win probability, will likely beat Karolina Pliskova at the WTA Linz Open tournament.

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