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Karen Khachanov vs. Joao Fonseca prediction, odds, picks for ATP Paris Masters 2025
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Khachanov vs Fonseca predictions for ATP Paris Masters.
Karen Khachanov and Joao Fonseca will meet in the round of 32 of the ATP Paris Masters event on Wednesday.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Karen Khachanov as the most likely winner of the Khachanov vs. Fonseca match.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.
Khachanov vs. Fonseca prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 16?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's Khachanov-Fonseca men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives Khachanov a 58% chance of winning against Fonseca at the ATP Paris Masters tournament.
Additionally, Khachanov has a 57% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Khachanov (-1.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 24.5 games has a 58% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Karen Khachanov vs. Joao Fonseca odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Khachanov | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -138 | +125 |
| First Set | -139 | +110 |
| Game Spread | +1.5 (-112) | -1.5 (-118) |
| Total Games | o24.5 (-115) | u24.5 (-125) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Khachanov vs. Fonseca picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Khachanov | -138 |
| First Set | Fonseca | -125 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Karen Khachanov to win the first set.
Khachanov vs. Fonseca updates and essential details
The ATP Paris Masters match between Karen Khachanov and Joao Fonseca is scheduled to start on Wednesday at 3:10PM ET.
- Who: Karen Khachanov vs. Joao Fonseca
- Date: Wednesday, October 29, 2025
- Approx. Time: 3:10PM ET/12:10PM PT
- Tournament: ATP Paris, France Men's Singles 2025
- Round: Round of 32
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Karen Khachanov, with a 58% win probability, will likely beat Joao Fonseca at the ATP Paris Masters tournament.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Khachanov vs. Fonseca insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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