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Karen Khachanov vs. Alex de Minaur prediction, odds, picks for ATP Paris Masters 2025

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Written by Damien Souness

Get Khachanov vs de Minaur predictions for ATP Paris Masters.

Karen Khachanov vs Alex de Minaur Tennis Prediction.
Our Karen Khachanov and Alex de Minaur tennis prediction is based on thousands of simulations of the upcoming match.

Karen Khachanov will take on Alex de Minaur in the round of 16 at the ATP Paris event on Thursday.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Alex de Minaur as the most likely winner of the Khachanov vs. de Minaur match.

This article offers further insights into Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.

Khachanov vs. de Minaur prediction: Who will win and advance to the quarterfinals?

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's Khachanov-de Minaur men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives de Minaur a 55% chance of winning against Khachanov at the ATP Paris Masters tournament.

Additionally, de Minaur has a 54% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Khachanov (+1.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 22.5 games has a 51% chance of hitting, according to our model.

 

Karen Khachanov vs. Alex de Minaur odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type Khachanov de Minaur
Moneyline +127 -140
First Set +110 -139
Game Spread -1.5 (-120) +1.5 (-110)
Total Games o22.5 (-126) u22.5 (-106)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Khachanov vs. de Minaur picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Moneyline Khachanov +127
First Set de Minaur -106

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is *Karen Khachanov to win.

Khachanov vs. de Minaur updates and essential details

The ATP Paris Masters match between Karen Khachanov and Alex de Minaur is scheduled to commence on Thursday at 11:00AM ET.

  • Who: Karen Khachanov vs. Alex de Minaur
  • Date: Thursday, October 30, 2025
  • Approx. Time: 11:00AM ET/8:00AM PT
  • Tournament: ATP Paris, France Men's Singles 2025
  • Round: Round of 16

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Alex de Minaur, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat Karen Khachanov at the ATP Paris Masters tournament.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Khachanov vs. de Minaur insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on Tennis

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Written by
Damien Souness
Chief Innovation Officer

Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.

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