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Kansas State vs. Texas Tech prediction: Why Texas Tech is favored to win NCAAW matchup [3/5/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Kansas State vs Texas Tech predictions for college basketball Thursday.
Texas Tech and Kansas State are scheduled to meet in the women's college basketball at T-Mobile Center on Thursday, starting at 12:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' new women's basketball model projects Texas Tech as the most likely winner of the Kansas State vs. Texas Tech game.
This article offers further insights into Thursday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Kansas State vs. Texas Tech prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's women's basketball game between Kansas State and Texas Tech 10,000 times as part of our women's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives Texas Tech a 69% chance of beating Kansas State.
According to our model, the 132.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of going over.
Kansas State vs. Texas Tech odds
We have researched the best women's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Kansas State | Texas Tech |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +3.5 (-110) | -3.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +170 | -205 |
| Total | o132.5 (-110) | u132.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Kansas State vs. Texas Tech picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Texas Tech -3.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Texas Tech | -205 |
| Total | Over 132.5 | -110 |
According to our women's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Texas Tech to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Kansas State vs. Texas Tech game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's women's basketball action between Texas Tech and Kansas State at T-Mobile Center is scheduled to commence at 12:00 PM ET.
- Who: Kansas State vs. Texas Tech
- Date: Thursday, March 5, 2026
- Time: 12:00 PM ET/9:00AM PT
- Venue: T-Mobile Center
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Conclusion
We predict Texas Tech, with a 69% win probability, will likely beat Kansas State on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Kansas State vs. Texas Tech insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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