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Joao Fonseca vs. Denis Shapovalov prediction, odds, picks for ATP Swiss Indoors 2025
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Fonseca vs Shapovalov predictions for ATP Swiss Indoors.
Joao Fonseca will square off with Denis Shapovalov in the quarterfinals at the ATP Basel event on Friday.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Joao Fonseca as the most likely winner of the Fonseca vs. Shapovalov match.
This article offers further insights into Friday's match, including best bets and picks.
Fonseca vs. Shapovalov prediction: Who will win and advance to the semifinals?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's Fonseca-Shapovalov men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives Fonseca a 51% chance of winning against Shapovalov at the ATP Swiss Indoors tournament.
Additionally, Fonseca has a 51% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show that the bookmakers have got it right with the +0.5 games spread, with each player projected to have a 50-50 chance of covering**, while the under 23.5 games has a 56% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Joao Fonseca vs. Denis Shapovalov odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Fonseca | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -125 | +106 |
| First Set | -125 | +100 |
| Game Spread | +0.5 (-110) | -0.5 (-122) |
| Total Games | o23.5 (-110) | u23.5 (-120) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Fonseca vs. Shapovalov picks and best bet
Our predictions, matched with the listed odds, reveal the top betting picks for this match, detailed in Dimers' tennis best bets, crafted from expert modeling and analysis:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Shapovalov | +106 |
| First Set | Shapovalov | -120 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Denis Shapovalov to win the first set.
Fonseca vs. Shapovalov updates and essential details
The ATP Swiss Indoors match between Joao Fonseca and Denis Shapovalov is scheduled to start on Friday at 9:05AM ET.
- Who: Joao Fonseca vs. Denis Shapovalov
- Date: Friday, October 24, 2025
- Approx. Time: 9:05AM ET/6:05AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Basel, Switzerland Men's Singles 2025
- Round: Quarterfinals
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Joao Fonseca, with a 51% win probability, will likely beat Denis Shapovalov at the ATP Swiss Indoors tournament.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Fonseca vs. Shapovalov insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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