Jessica Pegula vs. Marta Kostyuk prediction, odds, picks for WTA Madrid Open 2026

Jessica Pegula and Marta Kostyuk are scheduled to meet in the round of 32 of the WTA Madrid Open event on Sunday.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Jessica Pegula as the most likely winner of the Pegula vs. Kostyuk match.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.

Pegula vs. Kostyuk prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 16?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's Pegula-Kostyuk women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Pegula a 57% chance of winning against Kostyuk at the WTA Madrid Open tournament.

Additionally, Pegula has a 54% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Kostyuk (+2.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 21.5 games has a 53% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Jessica Pegula vs. Marta Kostyuk odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Pegula vs. Kostyuk picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: