Jessica Pegula vs. Elena Rybakina prediction, odds, picks for Australian Open 2026

Jessica Pegula will take on Elena Rybakina in the semifinals of the Australian Open Women's Singles 2026 on Thursday.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Elena Rybakina as the most likely winner of the Pegula vs. Rybakina match.

This article offers a closer look at Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.

Pegula vs. Rybakina prediction: Who will win and advance to the final?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's Pegula-Rybakina women's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives Rybakina a 62% chance of beating Pegula in the Australian Open 2026.

Additionally, Rybakina has a 59% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Pegula (+3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 22.5 games has a 57% chance of hitting**, according to our model.

Jessica Pegula vs. Elena Rybakina odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Pegula vs. Rybakina picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is *Jessica Pegula to win.

Pegula vs. Rybakina updates and essential details

The Australian Open 2026 match between Jessica Pegula and Elena Rybakina is scheduled to commence on Thursday at 5:10 AM ET.

• Who: Jessica Pegula vs. Elena Rybakina
• Date: Thursday, January 29, 2026
• Approx. Time: 5:10 AM ET/2:10AM PT
• Tournament: Australian Open Women's Singles 2026
• Round: Semifinals

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Elena Rybakina, with a 62% win probability, will likely beat Jessica Pegula at the Australian Open 2026.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Pegula vs. Rybakina insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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