Jacksonville State vs. New Mexico State prediction: New Mexico State favored to win men's college basketball matchup [3/5/2026]

New Mexico State and Jacksonville State are scheduled to meet in men's college basketball action at Pan American Center on Thursday, with tipoff at 9:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced college basketball model projects New Mexico State as the most likely winner of the Jacksonville State vs. New Mexico State game.

This article offers further insights into Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Jacksonville State vs. New Mexico State prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NCAA basketball matchup between Jacksonville State and New Mexico State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives New Mexico State a 74% chance of beating Jacksonville State. Our predicted final score has New Mexico State winning 76-69.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and Jacksonville State and New Mexico State each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 145.5 points has a 53% chance of going over.

Jacksonville State vs. New Mexico State odds

We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Jacksonville State	New Mexico State
Spread	+5.5 (-102)	-5.5 (-120)
Moneyline	+220	-260
Total	o145.5 (-105)	u145.5 (-112)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Jacksonville State vs. New Mexico State picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Jacksonville State +5.5	-102
Moneyline	New Mexico State	-260
Total	Over 145.5	-105

According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 145.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Jacksonville State vs. New Mexico State game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's men's college basketball game between New Mexico State and Jacksonville State at Pan American Center is scheduled to commence at 9:00 PM ET.

• Who: Jacksonville State vs. New Mexico State
• Date: Thursday, March 5, 2026
• Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
• Venue: Pan American Center

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Conclusion

We predict New Mexico State, with a 74% win probability, will likely beat Jacksonville State on Thursday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Jacksonville State vs. New Mexico State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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