Jaguars vs. Raiders prediction: Jacksonville favored to win in NFL Week 9, 2025

The Las Vegas Raiders and Jacksonville Jaguars will lock horns in Week 9 of the NFL season at Allegiant Stadium on Sunday, with kickoff at 4:05PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NFL model predicts the Jaguars as the most likely winner of the Jaguars vs. Raiders game.

This article offers further insights into this week's matchup, including touchdown scorer projections, best bets and player prop picks.

Jaguars vs. Raiders prediction: Who will win, cover the spread?

Since our Jaguars-Raiders predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL game between the Jaguars and Raiders 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Jaguars a 60% chance of beating the Raiders in Week 9 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Jaguars winning 22-20.

According to our model, the Jaguars (-1.5) have a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the 43.5-point over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 9 straight up picks.

Jaguars vs. Raiders odds

We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Jaguars	Raiders
Spread	-1.5 (-114)	+1.5 (-106)
Moneyline	-126	+110
Total	o43.5 (-115)	u43.5 (-102)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Jaguars vs. Raiders picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Jaguars -1.5	-114
Moneyline	Jaguars	-126
Total	Under 43.5	-102

According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Jaguars -1.5 at the spread.

Jaguars vs. Raiders TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in Jaguars vs. Raiders?

According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for today, Ashton Jeanty is most likely to score an anytime TD in Jaguars vs. Raiders.

Our projections give Jeanty a 48.0% chance of scoring a TD at Allegiant Stadium, while the running back is a 13.1% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Jacksonville Jaguars

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Travis Etienne (RB)	37.6%
Brian Thomas (WR)	36.6%
Parker Washington (WR)	26.5%
Dyami Brown (WR)	23.7%
Bhayshul Tuten (RB)	21.6%

Las Vegas Raiders

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Ashton Jeanty (RB)	48.0%
Brock Bowers (TE)	31.3%
Jakobi Meyers (WR)	27.4%
Tre Tucker (WR)	26.8%
Raheem Mostert (RB)	12.4%

First touchdown scorer predictions

Jacksonville Jaguars

Player	First TD Probability
Travis Etienne (RB)	9.9%
Brian Thomas (WR)	9.6%
Parker Washington (WR)	6.5%
Dyami Brown (WR)	5.7%
Bhayshul Tuten (RB)	5.1%

Las Vegas Raiders

Player	First TD Probability
Ashton Jeanty (RB)	13.1%
Brock Bowers (TE)	7.5%
Jakobi Meyers (WR)	6.4%
Tre Tucker (WR)	6.3%
Raheem Mostert (RB)	2.7%

Jaguars vs Raiders player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Jaguars and Raiders. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 9 games.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Jaguars' Trevor Lawrence is projected for 238 passing yards, while the Raiders' Geno Smith is expected to throw for 225 yards.

Player	Proj. Pass Yards
Trevor Lawrence (JAX)	238
Geno Smith (LV)	225

Jaguars rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
Travis Etienne	59
Bhayshul Tuten	26
Trevor Lawrence	16

Raiders rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
Ashton Jeanty	66
Raheem Mostert	16
Geno Smith	13

Jaguars receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
Brian Thomas	72
Parker Washington	47
Dyami Brown	41
Hunter Long	23
Travis Etienne	18

Raiders receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
Brock Bowers	56
Jakobi Meyers	54
Tre Tucker	46
Ashton Jeanty	19
Jack Bech	16

Jaguars vs. Raiders game-day updates and essential details

The NFL Week 9 action between the Raiders and Jaguars at Allegiant Stadium is scheduled to commence at 4:05PM ET.

• Who: Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Las Vegas Raiders
• Date: Sunday, November 2, 2025
• Time: 4:05PM ET/1:05PM PT
• Venue: Allegiant Stadium

NFL Week 9 betting promos and codes

Make the most of Dimers' Jaguars vs. Raiders predictions by exploring the two exciting offers below.

DraftKings Sportsbook

Sign up for DraftKings Sportsbook! Bet $5, get $200 in bonus bets instantly plus over $200 off NFL Sunday Ticket.

Bet365 Sportsbook

Join Bet365 Sportsbook! Bet $5, get $200 in bonus bets win or lose.

Sports betting deal available for Sunday

To make the most of Sunday's big day of sports, headlined by NFL Sunday action, check out details on the latest Bet365 bonus code "DIMERS" that scores you $200 in bonus bets from a $5 bet — win or lose. Don't miss out!

Conclusion

We predict the Jaguars, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat the Raiders in Week 9 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Jaguars vs. Raiders insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NFL

Keep up with the latest NFL betting news and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds provide the most accurate predictions for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.

Boost your NFL betting by exploring the latest NFL betting promos, sourced from top sportsbooks and DFS operators.