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Iowa State vs. Texas Tech prediction: Why Iowa State is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [3/12/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Iowa State vs Texas Tech predictions for college basketball Thursday.
Texas Tech and Iowa State will meet in men's college basketball action at T-Mobile Center on Thursday, with tipoff at 12:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven college basketball model predicts Iowa State as the most likely winner of the Iowa State vs. Texas Tech game.
This article offers further insights into Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Iowa State vs. Texas Tech prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NCAA basketball matchup between Iowa State and Texas Tech 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives Iowa State a 73% chance of beating Texas Tech. Our predicted final score has Iowa State winning 76-69.
According to our model, Texas Tech (+7.5) has a 60% chance of covering the spread, while the 143.5-point over/under has a 53% chance of going over.
Iowa State vs. Texas Tech odds
We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Iowa State | Texas Tech |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -7.5 (-105) | +7.5 (-115) |
| Moneyline | -280 | +240 |
| Total | o143.5 (-110) | u143.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Iowa State vs. Texas Tech picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Texas Tech +7.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Texas Tech | +240 |
| Total | Over 143.5 | -110 |
According to our best men's college basketball bets, the top play to make on this game is Texas Tech +7.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Iowa State vs. Texas Tech game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's men's college basketball matchup between Texas Tech and Iowa State at T-Mobile Center is scheduled to begin at 12:30 PM ET.
- Who: Iowa State vs. Texas Tech
- Date: Thursday, March 12, 2026
- Time: 12:30 PM ET/9:30AM PT
- Venue: T-Mobile Center
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Conclusion
We predict Iowa State, with a 73% win probability, will likely beat Texas Tech on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Iowa State vs. Texas Tech insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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