Iowa State vs. Arizona prediction: Why Arizona is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [3/2/2026]

Men's college basketball action continues on Monday at 9:00 PM ET as Iowa State squares off with Arizona in men's college basketball action at McKale Center.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven college basketball model projects Arizona as the most likely winner of the Iowa State vs. Arizona game.

This article offers further insights into Monday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Iowa State vs. Arizona prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's NCAA basketball game between Iowa State and Arizona 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives Arizona a 78% chance of defeating Iowa State. Our predicted final score has Arizona winning 81-73.

According to our model, Arizona (-6.5) has a 57% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 149.5 points has a 56% chance of going over.

Iowa State vs. Arizona odds

We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Iowa State	Arizona
Spread	+6.5 (-110)	-6.5 (-105)
Moneyline	+260	-285
Total	o149.5 (-110)	u149.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Iowa State vs. Arizona picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Arizona -6.5	-105
Moneyline	Arizona	-285
Total	Over 149.5	-110

According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Arizona -6.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Iowa State vs. Arizona game-day updates and essential details

Monday's men's college basketball game between Arizona and Iowa State at McKale Center is scheduled to commence at 9:00 PM ET.

• Who: Iowa State vs. Arizona
• Date: Monday, March 2, 2026
• Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
• Venue: McKale Center

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Conclusion

We predict Arizona, with a 78% win probability, will likely beat Iowa State on Monday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Iowa State vs. Arizona insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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