Colts vs. Steelers prediction: Why Indianapolis is favored to win in NFL Week 9, 2025

The Pittsburgh Steelers will take on the Indianapolis Colts in NFL Week 9 action at Acrisure Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 1:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced NFL model predicts the Colts as the most likely winner of the Colts vs. Steelers game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including touchdown scorer projections, best bets and player prop picks.

Colts vs. Steelers prediction: Who will win, cover the spread?

Since our Colts-Steelers predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL game between the Colts and Steelers 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Colts a 60% chance of beating the Steelers in Week 9 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Colts winning 27-24.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Colts and Steelers each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 51.5-point over/under also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 9 straight up picks.

Colts vs. Steelers odds

We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Colts	Steelers
Spread	-3 (-110)	+3 (+100)
Moneyline	-164	+145
Total	o51.5 (-110)	u51.5 (-108)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Colts vs. Steelers picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Steelers +3	+100
Moneyline	Steelers	+145
Total	Under 51.5	-108

According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Steelers +3 at the spread.

Colts vs. Steelers TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in Colts vs. Steelers?

According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for today, Jonathan Taylor is most likely to score an anytime touchdown in Colts vs. Steelers.

Our projections give Taylor a 69.1% chance of scoring a TD at Acrisure Stadium, while the running back is an 18.9% chance of registering the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Indianapolis Colts

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Jonathan Taylor (RB)	69.1%
Tyler Warren (TE)	35.0%
Michael Pittman (WR)	32.0%
Daniel Jones (QB)	22.5%
Alec Pierce (WR)	22.2%

Pittsburgh Steelers

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Jaylen Warren (RB)	47.3%
DK Metcalf (WR)	38.9%
Kenneth Gainwell (RB)	27.2%
Calvin Austin (WR)	26.8%
Jonnu Smith (TE)	26.7%

First touchdown scorer predictions

Indianapolis Colts

Player	First TD Probability
Jonathan Taylor (RB)	18.9%
Tyler Warren (TE)	6.9%
Michael Pittman (WR)	6.2%
Daniel Jones (QB)	4.1%
Alec Pierce (WR)	4.0%

Pittsburgh Steelers

Player	First TD Probability
Jaylen Warren (RB)	9.8%
DK Metcalf (WR)	7.6%
Kenneth Gainwell (RB)	4.9%
Calvin Austin (WR)	4.8%
Jonnu Smith (TE)	4.8%

Colts vs Steelers player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Colts and Steelers. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 9 games.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Colts' Daniel Jones is projected for 258 passing yards. The Steelers' Aaron Rodgers is expected to throw for 240 yards.

Player	Proj. Pass Yards
Daniel Jones (IND)	258
Aaron Rodgers (PIT)	240

Colts rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
Jonathan Taylor	93
Daniel Jones	19
Ameer Abdullah	8

Steelers rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
Jaylen Warren	65
Kenneth Gainwell	24
Aaron Rodgers	6

Colts receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
Michael Pittman	62
Tyler Warren	60
Alec Pierce	51
Josh Downs	44
Jonathan Taylor	22

Steelers receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
DK Metcalf	65
Calvin Austin	41
Jonnu Smith	30
Pat Freiermuth	25
Jaylen Warren	24

Colts vs. Steelers game-day updates and essential details

The NFL Week 9 game between the Steelers and Colts at Acrisure Stadium is scheduled to begin at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Indianapolis Colts vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
• Date: Sunday, November 2, 2025
• Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: Acrisure Stadium

NFL Week 9 betting promos and codes

Make the most of Dimers' Colts vs. Steelers predictions by exploring the two exciting offers below.

DraftKings Sportsbook

Sign up for DraftKings Sportsbook! Bet $5, get $200 in bonus bets instantly plus over $200 off NFL Sunday Ticket.

Bet365 Sportsbook

Join Bet365 Sportsbook! Bet $5, get $200 in bonus bets win or lose.

Sports betting deal available for Sunday

To make the most of Sunday's exciting day of sports, headlined by NFL Sunday action, check out details on the latest Bet365 bonus code "DIMERS" that scores you $200 in bonus bets from a $5 bet — win or lose. Don't miss out!

Conclusion

We predict the Colts, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat the Steelers in Week 9 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Colts vs. Steelers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NFL

Keep up with the latest NFL news and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds provide the most up-to-date predictions for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.

Boost your NFL betting by exploring the latest NFL betting promos, sourced from top sportsbooks and DFS operators.