Indiana State vs. Valparaiso prediction: Valparaiso favored to win men's college basketball matchup [3/5/2026]

Valparaiso and Indiana State are scheduled to meet in men's college basketball action at Enterprise Center on Thursday, starting at 7:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced college basketball model predicts Valparaiso as the most likely winner of the Indiana State vs. Valparaiso game.

This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Indiana State vs. Valparaiso prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NCAA basketball game between Indiana State and Valparaiso 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Valparaiso a 55% chance of defeating Indiana State. Our predicted final score has Valparaiso winning 72-71.

According to our model, Indiana State (+1.5) has a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the 141.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of going over.

Indiana State vs. Valparaiso odds

We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Indiana State	Valparaiso
Spread	+1.5 (+102)	-1.5 (-122)
Moneyline	+134	-155
Total	o141.5 (-105)	u141.5 (-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Indiana State vs. Valparaiso picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Indiana State +1.5	+102
Moneyline	Indiana State	+134
Total	Over 141.5	-105

According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Indiana State +1.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Indiana State vs. Valparaiso game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's men's college basketball action between Valparaiso and Indiana State at Enterprise Center is scheduled to commence at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Indiana State vs. Valparaiso
• Date: Thursday, March 5, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Enterprise Center

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Conclusion

We predict Valparaiso, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat Indiana State on Thursday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Indiana State vs. Valparaiso insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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