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Pacers vs. Pelicans prediction: New Orleans favored to win Saturday's NBA matchup [12/20/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Indiana Pacers vs New Orleans Pelicans predictions for NBA Saturday.
The New Orleans Pelicans and Indiana Pacers are scheduled to meet in NBA action at Smoothie King Center on Saturday, with tipoff at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury updates, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Pelicans as the most likely winner of the Pacers vs. Pelicans game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Pelicans lineup will feature stars like Trey Murphy, Zion Williamson and Jordan Poole, while the Pacers will rely on Pascal Siakam, Bennedict Mathurin and Andrew Nembhard.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Pacers vs. Pelicans prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NBA game between the Pacers and Pelicans 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Pelicans a 57% chance of beating the Pacers. Our predicted final score has the Pelicans winning 117-116.
According to our model, the Pelicans (-3) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the 235.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.
Pacers vs. Pelicans odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Pacers | Pelicans |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +3 (-114) | -3 (-106) |
| Moneyline | +116 | -135 |
| Total | o235.5 (-105) | u235.5 (-114) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Pacers vs. Pelicans picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Pelicans -3 | -106 |
| Moneyline | Pelicans | -135 |
| Total | Under 235.5 | -114 |
According to our NBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Pelicans -3 at the spread.
Pacers vs. Pelicans player props
Looking for Indiana vs. New Orleans NBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Smoothie King Center.
Pascal Siakam is expected to lead the Pacers with 24 points, 7 rebounds and 4 assists, while Trey Murphy is projected to have 21 points, 5 rebounds and 3 assists for the Pelicans.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Pacers prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Pacers are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam | 24 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 44 |
| B. Mathurin | 22 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 38 |
| Andrew Nembhard | 17 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 35 |
| Quenton Jackson | 12 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 25 |
| Jay Huff | 11 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 29 |
Pelicans prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Pelicans:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy | 21 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 38 |
| Zion Williamson | 20 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 38 |
| Jordan Poole | 16 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 29 |
| Jeremiah Fears | 15 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 28 |
| Derik Queen | 14 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 34 |
Pacers vs. Pelicans game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's matchup between the Pelicans and Pacers at Smoothie King Center is scheduled to commence at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Indiana Pacers vs. New Orleans Pelicans
- Date: Saturday, December 20, 2025
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Smoothie King Center
Conclusion
We predict the Pelicans, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat the Pacers on Saturday, with Pascal Siakam projected for a game-high 44 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Pacers vs. Pelicans insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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