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Illinois vs. Michigan State prediction: Why Michigan State is favored to win women's college basketball matchup [1/4/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Illinois vs Michigan State predictions for college basketball Sunday.
Michigan State will take on Illinois in women's college basketball action at Jack Breslin Students Events Center on Sunday, commencing at 12:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' new women's basketball model projects Michigan State as the most likely winner of the Illinois vs. Michigan State game.
This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Illinois vs. Michigan State prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's women's basketball matchup between Illinois and Michigan State 10,000 times as part of our women's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives Michigan State a 75% chance of beating Illinois.
According to our model, the over/under total of 140.5 points has a 55% chance of staying under.
Illinois vs. Michigan State odds
We have sourced the best women's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Illinois | Michigan State |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +11.5 (-114) | -11.5 (-114) |
| Moneyline | +470 | -592 |
| Total | o140.5 (-110) | u140.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Illinois vs. Michigan State picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Illinois +11.5 | -114 |
| Moneyline | Illinois | +470 |
| Total | Under 140.5 | -110 |
According to our women's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Illinois to win.
Illinois vs. Michigan State game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's women's basketball action between Michigan State and Illinois at Jack Breslin Students Events Center is scheduled to begin at 12:00 PM ET.
- Who: Illinois vs. Michigan State
- Date: Sunday, January 4, 2026
- Time: 12:00 PM ET/9:00AM PT
- Venue: Jack Breslin Students Events Center
Conclusion
We predict Michigan State, with a 75% win probability, will likely beat Illinois on Sunday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Illinois vs. Michigan State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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