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Illinois vs. Iowa prediction: Why Iowa is favored to win women's basketball matchup [3/6/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Illinois vs Iowa predictions for college basketball Friday.
Women's college basketball action continues on Friday at 6:30 PM ET as Illinois locks horns with Iowa at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' new women's basketball model projects Iowa as the most likely winner of the Illinois vs. Iowa game.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Illinois vs. Iowa prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's women's basketball game between Illinois and Iowa 10,000 times as part of our women's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives Iowa a 71% chance of beating Illinois.
According to our model, the over/under total of 143.5 points has a 53% chance of going over.
Illinois vs. Iowa odds
We have researched the best women's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Illinois | Iowa |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +7.5 (-105) | -7.5 (-115) |
| Moneyline | +250 | -310 |
| Total | o143.5 (-110) | u143.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Illinois vs. Iowa picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Illinois +7.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Illinois | +250 |
| Total | Over 143.5 | -110 |
According to our women's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Illinois to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Illinois vs. Iowa game-day updates and essential details
Friday's women's basketball matchup between Iowa and Illinois at Gainbridge Fieldhouse is scheduled to start at 6:30 PM ET.
- Who: Illinois vs. Iowa
- Date: Friday, March 6, 2026
- Time: 6:30 PM ET/3:30PM PT
- Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
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Conclusion
We predict Iowa, with a 71% win probability, will likely beat Illinois on Friday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Illinois vs. Iowa insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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