Illinois State vs. Dayton prediction: Dayton favored to win NIT matchup [3/25/2026]

Dayton will square off with Illinois State in NIT action at UD Arena on Wednesday, beginning at 7:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced college basketball model projects Dayton as the most likely winner of the Illinois State vs. Dayton game.

This article offers further insights into Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Illinois State vs. Dayton prediction: Who will win NIT matchup?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's NCAA basketball game between Illinois State and Dayton, forming part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Dayton a 74% chance of beating Illinois State. Our predicted final score has Dayton winning 74-67.

According to our model, Illinois State (+7.5) has a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 140.5 points has a 52% chance of going over.

Illinois State vs. Dayton odds

We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Illinois State	Dayton
Spread	+7.5 (-112)	-7.5 (-105)
Moneyline	+270	-320
Total	o140.5 (-108)	u140.5 (-102)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Illinois State vs. Dayton picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Illinois State +7.5	-112
Moneyline	Illinois State	+270
Total	Over 140.5	-108

According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Illinois State +7.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Illinois State vs. Dayton game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's men's college basketball action between Dayton and Illinois State at UD Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Illinois State vs. Dayton
• Date: Wednesday, March 25, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: UD Arena

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Conclusion

We predict Dayton, with a 74% win probability, will likely beat Illinois State this men's National Invitational Tournament matchup.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Illinois State vs. Dayton insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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