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Iga Swiatek vs. Madison Keys prediction, odds, picks for WTA Finals 2025
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Swiatek vs Keys predictions for WTA Finals 2025.
Iga Swiatek and Madison Keys will meet in the WTA Finals 2025 event on Saturday.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Iga Swiatek as the most likely winner of the Swiatek vs. Keys match.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
Swiatek vs. Keys prediction: Who will win WTA Finals 2025 match?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's Swiatek-Keys women's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives Swiatek an 82% chance of defeating Keys at the WTA Finals 2025 tournament.
Additionally, Swiatek has a 77% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Keys (+5.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 19.5 games has a 53% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Iga Swiatek vs. Madison Keys odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Swiatek | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -448 | +400 |
| First Set | -357 | +275 |
| Game Spread | +5.5 (-126) | -5.5 (-104) |
| Total Games | o19.5 (-120) | u19.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Swiatek vs. Keys picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Swiatek | -448 |
| First Set | Keys | -120 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 19.5 total games.
Swiatek vs. Keys updates and essential details
The WTA Finals 2025 match between Iga Swiatek and Madison Keys is scheduled to commence on Saturday at 11:00AM ET.
- Who: Iga Swiatek vs. Madison Keys
- Date: Saturday, November 1, 2025
- Approx. Time: 11:00AM ET/8:00AM PT
- Tournament: WTA Finals Women's Singles 2025
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Iga Swiatek, with an 82% win probability, will likely beat Madison Keys at the WTA Finals 2025 tournament.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Swiatek vs. Keys insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on Tennis
Keep up with the latest tennis betting news and parlay picks throughout the year. Plus, Dimers' ATP and WTA world rankings showcase our in-house approach to accurately ranking every men's and women's player in the world.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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