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Idaho vs. Sacramento State prediction: Idaho favored to win men's college basketball matchup [2/21/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Idaho vs Sacramento State predictions for college basketball Saturday.
Men's college basketball action continues on Saturday at 10:00 PM ET as Idaho squares off with Sacramento State in men's college basketball action at Hornet Pavilion.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced college basketball model projects Idaho as the most likely winner of the Idaho vs. Sacramento State game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Idaho vs. Sacramento State prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NCAA basketball game between Idaho and Sacramento State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives Idaho a 62% chance of defeating Sacramento State. Our predicted final score has Idaho winning 79-75.
According to our model, Sacramento State (+4.5) has a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 164.5 points has a 57% chance of staying under.
Idaho vs. Sacramento State odds
We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Idaho | Sacramento State |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -4.5 (-110) | +4.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | -200 | +182 |
| Total | o164.5 (-110) | u164.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Idaho vs. Sacramento State picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Sacramento State +4.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Sacramento State | +182 |
| Total | Under 164.5 | -110 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 164.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Idaho vs. Sacramento State game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's men's college basketball matchup between Sacramento State and Idaho at Hornet Pavilion is scheduled to commence at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Idaho vs. Sacramento State
- Date: Saturday, February 21, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Hornet Pavilion
Conclusion
We predict Idaho, with a 62% win probability, will likely beat Sacramento State on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Idaho vs. Sacramento State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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