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Idaho vs. Montana State prediction: Why Idaho is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [3/8/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Idaho vs Montana State predictions for college basketball Sunday.
Montana State and Idaho will lock horns in men's college basketball action at Idaho Central Arena on Sunday, with tipoff at 10:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven college basketball model gives Idaho a slight edge with a 54% win probability over Montana State.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's Idaho vs. Montana State matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Idaho vs. Montana State prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NCAA basketball game between Idaho and Montana State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives Idaho a 54% chance of defeating Montana State. Our predicted final score has Idaho winning 74-73.
According to our model, Idaho (+1.5) has a 57% chance of covering the spread, while the 143.5-point over/under has a 55% chance of going over.
Idaho vs. Montana State odds
We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Idaho | Montana State |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +1.5 (-115) | -1.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | -108 | -102 |
| Total | o143.5 (-106) | u143.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Idaho vs. Montana State picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Idaho +1.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Idaho | -108 |
| Total | Over 143.5 | -106 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 143.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Idaho vs. Montana State game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's men's college basketball game between Montana State and Idaho at Idaho Central Arena is scheduled to commence at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Idaho vs. Montana State
- Date: Sunday, March 8, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Idaho Central Arena
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Conclusion
We predict Idaho, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat Montana State on Sunday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Idaho vs. Montana State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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